Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Toumba Stadium (Thessaloniki) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kruzliak I. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	14:45	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, Q Arena Asia, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	19:45	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
China	01:45	ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:45	ESPN
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	18:45	Oneplay, Sport 2
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Georgia	21:45	Silk Sport 2
Germany	18:45	RTL+
Greece	19:45	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport MIX
Kenya	20:45	Gotv
Kosovo	18:45	Arena Premium 4
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	11:45	Disney+
Mongolia	01:45	Premier Sports 3
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	18:45	SuperSport LaLiga
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Pakistan	22:45	Tapmad
Peru	12:45	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	01:45	beIN Sports 3
South Africa	19:45	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	20:45	Tabii
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, Disney+, TNT Sports 6
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus, TV 360


	PAOK		Celta de Vigo

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.75
	2.35	3.4	2.95
	2.78	3.1	2.82
	2.76	3.13	2.85
	2.6	3.18	2.87	Watch
	2.5	3	2.75
	2.82	3.2	2.88
	2.75	3	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.35)	3.14 ↓ (3.44)	2.84 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAOK
35.9%

Draw
30.4%

Celta de Vigo
33.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.4%

27.6%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

27.4%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.8%	21.6%	17.6%

PAOK - Celta de Vigo Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 30 - 65.2%). Celta will win (votes: 7 - 15.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 19.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 51.4% – 79%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - PAOK (1.86) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0, 2nd Half - PAOK (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Celta (2.03) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - PAOK (1.45) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): PAOK will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. PAOK (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Celta (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Tsiftsis A. (G) 3. Kenny J. 4. Vogliacco A. 6. Lovren D. 32. Taylor G. 2. Camara M. 27. Ozdoev M. 14. Zivkovic A. (C) 20. Zafeiris C. 11. Taison 19. Jeremejeff A.	13. Radu I. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 2. Starfelt C. 20. Alonso M. 5. Carreira S. 3. Mingueza O. 16. Roman M. 6. Moriba I. 10. Aspas I. (C) 7. Iglesias B. 19. Swedberg W.
Substitutes
21. Baba A. R. 39. Berdos D. 22. Bianco A. 52. Chatsidis D. 16. Kedziora T. 5. Michailidis G. 41. Monastirlis D. (G) 56. Mythou A. 1. Pavlenka J. (G) 35. Sanchez J. 25. Thymianis K.	23. Alvarez H. 24. Dominguez C. 18. Duran P. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 12. Fernandez M. 9. Jutgla F. 29. Lago Y. 30. Lopez F. 21. Ristic M. 17. Rueda J. 15. Vecino M. 1. Villar I. (G)
Coaches
Lucescu R.	Giraldez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
34', 0 - 1, Aspas I. ⚽, Roman M. (A),
43', 0 - 2, Swedberg W. ⚽, Aspas I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Mingueza O. ↓, Rueda J. ↑,
61', Iglesias B. ↓, Jutgla F. ↑,
65', Swedberg W. ↓, Alvarez H. ↑,
65', Aspas I. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
67', Alvarez H. 🟨,
67', Vogliacco A. ↓, Michailidis G. ↑,
67', Camara M. ↓, Chatsidis D. ↑,
67', Taylor G. ↓, Baba A. R. ↑,
72', Rueda J. 🟨,
77', 1 - 2, Jeremejeff A. ⚽, Zivkovic A. (A),
86', Roman M. ↓, Vecino M. ↑,
90', Zivkovic A. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

PAOK is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Celta is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

PAOK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Celta has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in PAOK: Balde M. (Inactive) Giakoumakis G. (Yellow Cards) Ivanusec L. (Toe Injury) Konstantelias G. (Red Card) Murg T. (Inactive) Sastre J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Celta: Nunez A. (Groin Injury) Sotelo H. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in PAOK: Despodov K. (Injury) Meite S. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, PAOK won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
25	Celta Vigo	3	1	0	2	3:4	-1	3

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Celta Vigo: 3.19%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
15.02.26	PAOK - AEK Athens	0:0 ✺
Greek Cup
11.02.26	PAOK - Panathinaikos	2:0 ✺
Greek Super League
08.02.26	Aris - PAOK	0:0 ✺
Greek Cup
04.02.26	Panathinaikos - PAOK	0:1 ✺
Greek Super League
01.02.26	PAOK - Panserraikos	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWTWW
- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
14.02.26	Espanyol - Celta de Vigo	2:2 ✺
06.02.26	Celta de Vigo - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Getafe - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Celta de Vigo	1:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
25.01.26	Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Celta de Vigo - PAOK	3:1

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