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PAOK vs Celta de Vigo Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, February 19, 2026)

Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Toumba Stadium (Thessaloniki)

Referee: Kruzliak I. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, Q Arena Asia, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 2
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 2
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport MIX
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
Mongolia	Premier Sports 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, Disney+, TNT Sports 6
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360


	PAOK		Celta de Vigo

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.75
	2.35	3.4	2.95
	2.78	3.1	2.82
	2.76	3.13	2.85
	2.6	3.18	2.87	Watch
	2.5	3	2.75
	2.82	3.2	2.88
	2.75	3	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.35)	3.14 ↓ (3.44)	2.84 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAOK
35.9%

Draw
30.4%

Celta de Vigo
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

27.6%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

27.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.8%	21.6%	17.6%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 30 - 65.2%). Celta will win (votes: 7 - 15.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 19.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 51.4% – 79%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - PAOK (1.86) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0, 2nd Half - PAOK (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Celta (2.03) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - PAOK (1.45) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): PAOK will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. PAOK (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Celta (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Tsiftsis A. (G) 3. Kenny J. 4. Vogliacco A. 6. Lovren D. 32. Taylor G. 2. Camara M. 27. Ozdoev M. 14. Zivkovic A. (C) 20. Zafeiris C. 11. Taison 19. Jeremejeff A.	13. Radu I. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 2. Starfelt C. 20. Alonso M. 5. Carreira S. 3. Mingueza O. 16. Roman M. 6. Moriba I. 10. Aspas I. (C) 7. Iglesias B. 19. Swedberg W.
Substitutes
21. Baba A. R. 39. Berdos D. 22. Bianco A. 52. Chatsidis D. 16. Kedziora T. 5. Michailidis G. 41. Monastirlis D. (G) 56. Mythou A. 1. Pavlenka J. (G) 35. Sanchez J. 25. Thymianis K.	23. Alvarez H. 24. Dominguez C. 18. Duran P. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 12. Fernandez M. 9. Jutgla F. 29. Lago Y. 30. Lopez F. 21. Ristic M. 17. Rueda J. 15. Vecino M. 1. Villar I. (G)
Coaches
Lucescu R.	Giraldez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
34', 0 - 1, Aspas I. ⚽, Roman M. (A),
43', 0 - 2, Swedberg W. ⚽, Aspas I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Mingueza O. ↓, Rueda J. ↑,
61', Iglesias B. ↓, Jutgla F. ↑,
65', Swedberg W. ↓, Alvarez H. ↑,
65', Aspas I. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
67', Alvarez H. 🟨,
67', Vogliacco A. ↓, Michailidis G. ↑,
67', Camara M. ↓, Chatsidis D. ↑,
67', Taylor G. ↓, Baba A. R. ↑,
72', Rueda J. 🟨,
77', 1 - 2, Jeremejeff A. ⚽, Zivkovic A. (A),
86', Roman M. ↓, Vecino M. ↑,
90', Zivkovic A. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

PAOK is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Celta is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

PAOK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Celta has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in PAOK: Balde M. (Inactive) Giakoumakis G. (Yellow Cards) Ivanusec L. (Toe Injury) Konstantelias G. (Red Card) Murg T. (Inactive) Sastre J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Celta: Nunez A. (Groin Injury) Sotelo H. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in PAOK: Despodov K. (Injury) Meite S. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, PAOK won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
15.02.26	PAOK - AEK Athens	0:0 ✺
Greek Cup
11.02.26	PAOK - Panathinaikos	2:0 ✺
Greek Super League
08.02.26	Aris - PAOK	0:0 ✺
Greek Cup
04.02.26	Panathinaikos - PAOK	0:1 ✺
Greek Super League
01.02.26	PAOK - Panserraikos	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWTWW
- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
14.02.26	Espanyol - Celta de Vigo	2:2 ✺
06.02.26	Celta de Vigo - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Getafe - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Celta de Vigo	1:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
25.01.26	Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Celta de Vigo - PAOK	3:1

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