Match Info

A-League - Round 23

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Central Coast Stadium (Polytec) (Gosford)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 3
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Central Coast Mariners		Perth Glory

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.5	Watch
	2.58	3.45	2.52	Watch
	2.64	3.7	2.63
	2.48	3.76	2.64	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.5
	2.58	3.66	2.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.34)	3.58 ↓ (3.6)	2.58 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Coast Mariners
37%

Draw
26.4%

Perth Glory
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

26.4%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

26.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Perth Glory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	30%	10%

Central Coast Mariners - Perth Glory Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Central Coast will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Perth will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Central Coast: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Central Coast (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Coast (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Redmayne A. (C) 15. Roux S. 2. Donachie J. 26. Tapp B. 5. Mauragis L. 6. Eames H. 11. James Ngor S. 48. Donnell C. 37. Brandtman B. 72. Auglah A. 23. Lavale O.	29. Sutton M. (G) 2. Shamoon C. A. 45. Kaltack B. 4. Wootton S. 3. Sutton S. 9. Kucharski J. 39. De Abreu G. 27. Freney W. 7. Pennington N. 22. Taggart A. (C) 25. Despotovski S.
Substitutes
18. Blair N. 22. De Lima A. 24. Herrington D. 43. Nasso J. 40. Peraic-Cullen D. (G) 16. Steele H. 17. Taniguchi K.	67. Colakovski S. 23. Didulica A. 24. Lebib A. 15. Lisolajski Z. 16. Popovic G. 18. Tevere L. 40. Warner R. (G)
Coaches
Moon W.	Griffiths A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Despotovski S. ⚽, Kucharski J. (A),
17', 0 - 2, Taggart A. ⚽, De Abreu G. (A),
36', De Abreu G. 🟨,
37', 1 - 2, Auglah A. ⚽,
45+2', Donnell C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Freney W. ↓, Tevere L. ↑,
57', Despotovski S. ↓, Didulica A. ↑,
66', 2 - 2, Brandtman B. ⚽, Donnell C. (A),
73', Kucharski J. ↓, Colakovski S. ↑,
73', Sutton S. ↓, Lisolajski Z. ↑,
74', Lavale O. ↓, Blair N. ↑,
74', Roux S. ↓, Nasso J. ↑,
79', Auglah A. ↓, Taniguchi K. ↑,
84', Shamoon C. A. ↓, Lebib A. ↑,
86', Donnell C. ↓, Steele H. ↑,
86', James Ngor S. ↓, De Lima A. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 2.

In recent matches, Central Coast has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Perth's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Perth has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Central Coast: Clark S. (Injury) Di Pizio M. (Injury) Sainsbury T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Theoharous C. (Injury)

There will not play in Perth: Anasmo J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Cook C. (Knee Injury) Lawrence T. (Foot Injury) O'Neill B. (Injury) Ostler T. (Injury) Wales L. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:35. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Central Coast won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1.4:2.1).

Outrights of Australian A-League for now

Perth Glory: 3.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Perth Glory - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.99%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League
21.03.26	Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners	4:1 ✺
14.03.26	Central Coast Mariners - Adelaide United	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Macarthur FC - Central Coast Mariners	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Central Coast Mariners - Western Sydney Wanderers	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 LTWTW
- Perth Glory
Australian A-League
22.03.26	Perth Glory - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Wellington Phoenix - Perth Glory	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Auckland FC - Perth Glory	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Brisbane Roar - Perth Glory	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Adelaide United - Perth Glory	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
10.01.26	Perth Glory - Central Coast Mariners	3:0
07.11.25	Perth Glory - Central Coast Mariners	0:1
Australian Cup
13.05.25	Central Coast Mariners - Perth Glory	2:3 ET
Australian A-League
30.03.25	Central Coast Mariners - Perth Glory	3:1
07.02.25	Perth Glory - Central Coast Mariners	1:1
02.11.24	Central Coast Mariners - Perth Glory	0:0
31.12.23	Central Coast Mariners - Perth Glory	4:2

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