Match Info

A-League - Round 17

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: AAMI Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 1
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Melbourne City		Central Coast Mariners

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.75	7	Watch
	1.41	4.7	6.9	Watch
	1.43	5.06	7.75
	1.48	4.7	6.36	Watch
	1.4	4.4	6.5
	1.47	4.87	6.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.47)	4.75 ↑ (4)	6.89 ↑ (6.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Melbourne City
66.3%

Draw
20%

Central Coast Mariners
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

23.1%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

22.8%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	30.8%	15.4%

Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Central Coast will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne City: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Central Coast (2.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Coast (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Nieuwenhuizen J. (G) 13. Atkinson N. 22. Ferreyra G. 2. Delbridge H. 16. Behich A. (C) 19. Schreiber Z. 47. Rahmani K. 14. Arzani D. 30. Kuen A. 11. Rashani E. 17. Caputo M.	30. Redmayne A. (C) 43. Nasso J. 26. Tapp B. 3. Paull N. 5. Mauragis L. 16. Steele H. 72. Auglah A. 22. De Lima A. 48. Donnell C. 37. Brandtman B. 18. Blair N.
Substitutes
60. Charles L. (G) 39. Durakovic E. 20. Mazzeo B. 35. Memeti M. 15. Nabbout A. 36. Shillington H. 26. Souprayen S.	2. Donachie J. 11. James Ngor S. 23. Lavale O. 45. Mantell J. 40. Peraic-Cullen D. (G) 15. Roux S. 17. Taniguchi K.
Coaches
Vidmar A.	Moon W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Kuen A. ⚽, Schreiber Z. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Blair N. ↓, Lavale O. ↑,
54', Brandtman B. ↓, James Ngor S. ↑,
54', Paull N. ↓, Donachie J. ↑,
57', Lavale O. 🟨,
62', Schreiber Z. 🟨,
66', Rashani E. ↓, Memeti M. ↑,
66', Caputo M. ↓, Nabbout A. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Nabbout A. ⚽, Arzani D. (A),
67', Donnell C. ↓, Mantell J. ↑,
73', Nasso J. ↓, Roux S. ↑,
80', Arzani D. ↓, Mazzeo B. ↑,
80', Schreiber Z. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
90', Rahmani K. ↓, Shillington H. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Auglah A. ⚽, James Ngor S. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Melbourne City is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Melbourne City: Kanamori T. (Knee Injury) Leckie M. (Hamstring Injury) Lopane A. (Muscle Injury) Younis M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Central Coast: Clark S. (Injury) Di Pizio M. (Injury) McCalmont A. (Inactive) Paull N. (Inactive) Sainsbury T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Theoharous C. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:27. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:12. (average 2.1:1.2).

Outrights of Australian A-League for now

Melbourne City: 14.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne City
Australian A-League
04.04.26	Melbourne City - Western Sydney Wanderers	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Perth Glory - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Sydney - Melbourne City	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
10.03.26	Buriram United - Melbourne City	1:0 penalties ✺
03.03.26	Melbourne City - Buriram United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWLT
- Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League
04.04.26	Central Coast Mariners - Perth Glory	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners	4:1 ✺
14.03.26	Central Coast Mariners - Adelaide United	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Macarthur FC - Central Coast Mariners	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
29.11.25	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City	0:0
05.04.25	Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners	1:0
31.12.24	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City	1:1
02.04.24	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City	2:1
21.01.24	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City	2:1
17.12.23	Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners	3:3
03.06.23	Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners	1:6

Upcoming Matches