The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newcastle Jets 26.5%
Draw 24.6%
Melbourne Victory 48.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.9%
21.7%
58.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.1%
22.6%
61%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle Jets's performance.
Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne Victory might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle Jets that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne Victory could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Newcastle Jets - Melbourne Victory Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Leat A. (G) 3. Cicco C. 4. Prior N. 15. Bates E. 7. Breier I. 10. Copus-Brown L. 6. Davis C. (C) 8. Dundas E. 26. Allan J. 44. Brown K. 14. Ayres M.
1. Newbon C. (G) 3. Bunge C. 6. Ray T. 18. Morrison K. (C) 24. Pickett L. 5. Sakalis S. 10. Pollicina R. 66. Jancevski A. 23. Lowe R. 9. Furphy H. 16. White K.
Substitutes
32. Adams C. 13. Allan L. 18. Hoban S. 5. Page O. 12. Ritchie G. (G) 2. Wilson J.
27. Curtis R. 11. Flannery N. 81. Maher G. 7. O'Grady E. 28. Techera S. 30. Woodward P. (G)
Coaches
Hoyle S.
Hopkins J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, White K. ⚽, Jancevski A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', Copus-Brown L. 🟨,
57', 0 - 2, Pollicina R. ⚽, Furphy H. (A),
62', Davis C. ↓, Hoban S. ↑,
67', Furphy H. 🟨,
72', White K. ↓, Flannery N. ↑,
72', Copus-Brown L. ↓, Allan L. ↑,
72', Ray T. ↓, Maher G. ↑,
77', 0 - 3, Flannery N. ⚽,
78', Furphy H. ↓, O'Grady E. ↑,
81', Dundas E. ↓, Adams C. ↑,
81', 1 - 3, Allan L. ⚽, Allan J. (A),
Preview
One of todayโs top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Jets won 1.
Newcastle Jets is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Melbourne Victory has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Recently, Melbourne Victory has had a series of home games.
In this match, Melbourne Victory is a strong favorite.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Jets won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 21:42. (average 1.2:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle Jets won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:16. (average 0.6:2.3).
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Leat A. (G) 
Cicco C. 
Morrison K. (C) 
Techera S. 
Hoyle S. 
Hopkins J. 
