Match Info

A-League Women - Round 21

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Leichhardt Oval (Sydney)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 4
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Sydney FC		Melbourne Victory

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.4	3.75	1.6
	4.35	4.15	1.55	Watch
	4.87	4.66	1.57
	4.62	4.58	1.59	Watch
	4.4	4	1.53
	4.55	4.55	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↑ (4.5)	4.28 ↑ (3.94)	1.57 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sydney FC
20.2%

Draw
21.4%

Melbourne Victory
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

23.2%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

22.3%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sydney FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney FC than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Sydney FC - Melbourne Victory Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hinz H. (G) 16. Pearson W. 4. Tumeth T. 2. Ayson M. 3. McLean C. 14. Lemon A. 17. Corbett C. 9. Ulkekul J. 15. Hawkesby M. (C) 13. Tanner R. 18. Luchtmeijer A.	1. Newbon C. (G) 24. Pickett L. 3. Bunge C. 18. Morrison K. (C) 4. Blissett C. 5. Sakalis S. 6. Ray T. 7. O'Grady E. 10. Pollicina R. 9. Furphy H. 23. Lowe R.
Substitutes
5. Fenton K. 6. Hollman S. 29. Oppedisano A. (G) 30. Robertson T. (G) 24. Tallon-Henniker C. 22. Valletta C.	27. Curtis R. 66. Jancevski A. 81. Maher G. 28. Techera S. 16. White K. 30. Woodward P. (G)
Coaches
Slaveski J.	Hopkins J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Lowe R. ⚽, Furphy H. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Tanner R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 2 - 1, Tanner R. ⚽,
61', Pickett L. ↓, White K. ↑,
61', Blissett C. ↓, Jancevski A. ↑,
64', Bunge C. 🟨,
69', Corbett C. ↓, Hollman S. ↑,
71', Tanner R. 🟨,
71', Sakalis S. 🟨,
75', McLean C. ↓, Fenton K. ↑,
76', Luchtmeijer A. ↓, Tallon-Henniker C. ↑,
76', Pollicina R. ↓, Maher G. ↑,
84', Ulkekul J. ↓, Valletta C. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 0.

Sydney has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Melbourne Victory's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Melbourne Victory has had a series of home games.

In this match, Melbourne Victory is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:27. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sydney FC Women
Australian A-League Women
20.03.26	Sydney FC - Wellington Phoenix	1:3 ✺
13.03.26	Newcastle Jets - Sydney FC	3:1 ✺
13.02.26	Brisbane Roar - Sydney FC	0:4 ✺
08.02.26	Sydney FC - Canberra United	1:2 ✺
04.02.26	Sydney FC - Brisbane Roar	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWLL
- Melbourne Victory Women
Australian A-League Women
14.03.26	Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Melbourne Victory - Newcastle Jets	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Canberra United - Melbourne Victory	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
25.01.26	Melbourne Victory - Sydney FC	0:0
24.01.25	Melbourne Victory - Sydney FC	2:0
28.12.24	Sydney FC - Melbourne Victory	0:1
31.03.24	Sydney FC - Melbourne Victory	0:4
26.01.24	Melbourne Victory - Sydney FC	1:1
22.04.23	Sydney FC - Melbourne Victory	1:0
26.01.23	Melbourne Victory - Sydney FC	3:6

Sydney FC - Melbourne Victory: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide