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Current Win Probability
Sydney FC 18.6%
Draw 21.6%
Wellington Phoenix 59.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.6%
23.5%
49.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.8%
22.8%
51.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sydney FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sydney FC's form might have worsened.
Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wellington Phoenix's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney FC than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sydney FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wellington Phoenix, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sydney FC - Wellington Phoenix Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hinz H. (G) 23. Sullivan R. 4. Tumeth T. 2. Ayson M. 14. Lemon A. 15. Hawkesby M. (C) 7. Cassar A. 17. Corbett C. 24. Tallon-Henniker C. 18. Luchtmeijer A. 9. Ulkekul J.
1. Esson V. (G) 5. Walker E. 4. Barry M. (C) 16. Van der Meer M. 11. Elliott M. 23. Nunn B. 32. Pijnenburg E. 7. Jale G. 24. Vlok P. 14. Leon L. 31. Woods M.
Substitutes
5. Fenton K. 19. Halmarick S. 6. Hollman S. 29. Oppedisano A. (G) 30. Robertson T. (G) 22. Valletta C.
30. Anthony M. 28. Bartlett G. 27. Benson Z. 15. Brazendale D. 22. Feinberg-Danieli A. (G) 3. Jaber T.
Coaches
Slaveski J.
Priestman B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Tallon-Henniker C. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Vlok P. ⚽, Nunn B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Cassar A. ↓, Valletta C. ↑,
59', Leon L. ↓, Benson Z. ↑,
59', Woods M. ↓, Anthony M. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Van der Meer M. ⚽, Elliott M. (A),
65', Tallon-Henniker C. ↓, Halmarick S. ↑,
68', Pijnenburg E. ↓, Brazendale D. ↑,
71', Ulkekul J. ↓, Hollman S. ↑,
75', 1 - 3, Nunn B. ⚽, Vlok P. (A),
78', Elliott M. ↓, Jaber T. ↑,
84', Sullivan R. ↓, Fenton K. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 3.
Recent form of Sydney has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Wellington is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Wellington is considered a favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
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Hinz H. (G) 
Sullivan R. 
Esson V. (G) 
Nunn B. 
Leon L. 
Priestman B. 
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