Match Info

A-League Women - Round 17

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Sky Stadium (Wellington)

Referee: Keighley A-M. (Nzl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport Select
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Wellington Phoenix		Central Coast Mariners

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.7	4.45	Watch
	1.7	4.1	4.79
	1.64	4.19	4.63	Watch
	1.62	3.6	4.33
	1.61	3.78	4.63	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.61)	3.86 ↑ (3.83)	4.56 ↓ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wellington Phoenix
56.1%

Draw
23.8%

Central Coast Mariners
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

23.7%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

22.4%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Central Coast Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Esson V. (G) 5. Walker E. 4. Barry M. (C) 16. Van der Meer M. 11. Elliott M. 23. Nunn B. 15. Brazendale D. 24. Vlok P. 14. Leon L. 30. Anthony M. 31. Woods M.	15. Grove A. (G) 5. Martin A. 3. Barwick-Grey E. 18. King (C) 23. Baumann L. 6. Gomez I. 7. Prakash A. 10. Levin T. 14. Kraszula G. 22. Trimis P. 9. Farrow M.
Substitutes
27. Benson Z. 22. Feinberg-Danieli A. (G) 3. Jaber T. 20. Main E. 32. Pijnenburg E. 21. Wall L.	13. Buchanan K. 21. Familton E. 12. Fuller T. 16. Quilligan T. 4. Thew B. 30. Varley S. (G)
Coaches
Priestman B.	Babington K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Trimis P. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Anthony M. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 2, Levin T. ⚽, Prakash A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Anthony M. ↓, Main E. ↑,
59', Leon L. ↓, Pijnenburg E. ↑,
66', Levin T. ↓, Fuller T. ↑,
67', Prakash A. ↓, Familton E. ↑,
75', Farrow M. ↓, Quilligan T. ↑,
82', Elliott M. ↓, Wall L. ↑,
87', Nunn B. ↓, Benson Z. ↑,
90+4', Woods M. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).

Wellington is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Central Coast has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Wellington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Wellington is considered a favorite.

We predict that Wellington will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Phoenix Women
Australian A-League Women
05.02.26	Wellington Phoenix - Perth Glory	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix	1:5 ✺
24.01.26	Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Canberra United - Wellington Phoenix	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWL
- Central Coast Mariners Women
Australian A-League Women
30.01.26	Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Central Coast Mariners - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Central Coast Mariners - Perth Glory	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
21.03.25	Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners	0:2
26.01.25	Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix	1:0
12.01.24	Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners	1:2
18.11.23	Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix	1:0

Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide