Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Unico Madre de Ciudades (Santiago del Estero)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Central Córdoba		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.6	1.7	Watch
	5	3.4	1.73
	5.45	3.55	1.68
	5.67	3.64	1.72
	5.48	3.61	1.69
	5	3.25	1.73	Watch
	5.51	3.62	1.71	Watch
	5.45	3.55	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.35 ↑ (5.32)	3.53 ↓ (3.68)	1.71 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Córdoba
17.7%

Draw
26.8%

Flamengo
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

25.7%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

25%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Central Córdoba have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Córdoba than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	18.2%	72.7%

Central Córdoba - Flamengo Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Central Córdoba will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Flamengo will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Córdoba (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Flamengo (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Central Córdoba (2.08) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1 - Flamengo (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Córdoba (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Flamengo (votes: 7 - 58.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aguerre A. (G) 33. Moyano S. 2. Abascia L. (C) 19. Rivero L. 24. Cufre B. 25. Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 32. Galvan J. 7. Angulo L. 27. Quagliata N. 11. Perello M. 12. Heredia L.	1. Rossi A. (G) 43. Wesley Franca 4. Leo Pereira 13. Danilo 6. Ayrton Lucas 18. de la Cruz N. 5. Pulgar E. 8. Gerson (C) 10. de Arrascaeta G. 27. Bruno Henrique 9. Pedro
Substitutes
35. Alfonso F. 17. Casermeiro Y. 15. Cristoforo S. 45. Funez N. 21. Glaby D. 8. Gomez I. 6. Mansilla F. 3. Marchi L. 20. Martinez F. 10. Veron G. 18. Zalazar D. 22. Zozaya J. (G)	26. Alex Sandro 29. Allan 33. Cleiton 52. Evertton Araujo 79. Joshua 23. Juninho 3. Leo Ortiz 7. Luiz Araujo 25. Matheus Cunha (G) 20. Matheus Goncalves 30. Michael 2. Varela G.
Coaches
De F. O.	Cleber dos Santos

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽, Gerson (A),
33', de Arrascaeta G. 🟨,
42', de la Cruz N. 🟨,
43', Ayrton Lucas 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Galvan J. ↓, Glaby D. ↑,
47', Pedro ↓, Juninho ↑,
58', Quagliata N. ↓, Veron G. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Veron G. ⚽, Angulo L. (A),
65', de la Cruz N. ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
75', Wesley Franca ↓, Varela G. ↑,
75', Leo Pereira ↓, Leo Ortiz ↑,
76', Angulo L. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
76', Perello M. ↓, Alfonso F. ↑,
82', Filipe Luis 🟨,
84', Heredia L. ↓, Gomez I. ↑,
90+1', Pulgar E. ↓, Allan ↑,

Preview

Central Córdoba is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Flamengo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Flamengo has had a series of away games.

In this match, Flamengo is the team to beat.

There will not play in Central Córdoba: Barrera D. (Inactive) Cabral F. (Inactive) Gomez I. (Inactive) Montoya L. (Knee Injury) Pillud I. . (Inactive) Varaldo L. (Knee Injury) Vega C. (Inactive)

There will not play in Flamengo: Vina M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Central Córdoba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.05.25	Banfield - Central Córdoba	3:1 ✺
28.04.25	Central Córdoba - Independiente Rivadavia	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.04.25	Central Córdoba - Deportivo Táchira	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.04.25	Racing - Central Córdoba	1:0 ✺
14.04.25	Central Córdoba - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
04.05.25	Cruzeiro - Flamengo	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.05.25	Botafogo PB - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
27.04.25	Flamengo - Corinthians	4:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.04.25	LDU Quito - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.04.25	Vasco da Gama - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
09.04.25	Flamengo - Central Córdoba	1:2

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