Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado (Quito)

Referee: Lopez D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Germany	Sportdigital+
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Canal+
Portugal	Sport TV2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
South-america	ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
Spain	beIN Sports
Turkey	S Sport+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+


	LDU Quito		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.45	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.3
	2.95	3.1	2.5	Watch
	3.09	3.15	2.52
	2.95	3.03	2.62	Watch
	3.2	3	2.3	Watch
	3.09	3.14	2.5	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↓ (3.34)	3.09 ↓ (3.15)	2.46 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Quito
31.1%

Draw
30.6%

Flamengo
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

30.1%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

29.7%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

LDU Quito - Flamengo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Valle G. (G) 31. de la Cruz D. I. 4. Ade R. (C) 30. Allala Menendez G. F. 33. Quinonez L. 8. Gruezo C. 29. Ramirez Leon B. J. 5. Minda K. 9. Alzugaray L. 20. Cornejo F. 19. Arce A.	1. Rossi A. (G) 43. Wesley Franca 13. Danilo 3. Leo Ortiz 6. Ayrton Lucas 5. Pulgar E. 52. Evertton Araujo 8. Gerson (C) 10. de Arrascaeta G. 27. Bruno Henrique 23. Juninho
Substitutes
6. Aimar D. 10. Alvarado A. 24. Cabeza A. 21. Castillo E. 23. Diaz M. 2. Erique Villigua Y. H. 11. Estrada M. 3. Mina R. 7. Pastran L. 14. Quintero J. 12. Villa A. (G) 15. Villamil G.	33. Cleiton 11. Everton 60. Joao Alves 61. Joao Victor 79. Joshua 4. Leo Pereira 7. Luiz Araujo 25. Matheus Cunha (G) 20. Matheus Goncalves 30. Michael 9. Pedro 2. Varela G.
Coaches
Sanchez P.	Filipe Luis

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', de Arrascaeta G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Cornejo F. 🟨,
55', Minda K. ↓, Villamil G. ↑,
59', Juninho ↓, Pedro ↑,
65', Alzugaray L. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
67', Bruno Henrique ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
67', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Everton ↑,
79', Ramirez Leon B. J. ↓, Pastran L. ↑,
79', Arce A. ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
90+2', Ayrton Lucas ↓, Varela G. ↑,

Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Flamengo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Flamengo will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Flamengo: Alex Sandro (Thigh Injury) Vina M. (Knee Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches LDU Quito won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1.8:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams LDU Quito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
18.04.25	LDU Quito - SD Aucas	3:1 ✺
14.04.25	Mushuc Runa - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.04.25	LDU Quito - Deportivo Táchira	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Central Córdoba - LDU Quito	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
29.03.25	Deportivo Cuenca - LDU Quito	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWTW
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
19.04.25	Vasco da Gama - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
16.04.25	Flamengo - Juventude	6:0 ✺
13.04.25	Grêmio - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.04.25	Flamengo - Central Córdoba	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
06.04.25	Vitória Salvador - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
19.05.21	Flamengo - LDU Quito	2:2
04.05.21	LDU Quito - Flamengo	2:3
24.04.19	LDU Quito - Flamengo	2:1
13.03.19	Flamengo - LDU Quito	3:1

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