The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Central Español 24.4%
Draw 29%
Racing Montevideo 46.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30%
29.2%
40.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.5%
29.7%
41.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Central Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Central Español's form might have worsened.
Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Racing Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Central Español, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Central Español - Racing Montevideo Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
39. Rodolfo (G) 17. Fernandez L. 2. Rodriguez I. 14. Villoldo A. (C) 6. Urrutia M. 26. Cesar Nunes 16. Mendez I. 4. Montiel M. 8. Camarda F. 32. Aguilera M. 19. Sequeira S.
12. Varese F. (G) 3. Brazionis 4. Cotugno G. (C) 13. Alvarez F. 17. Ferreira M. 8. Cairus F. 19. Dudok R. 21. Alvarez Wallace A. 39. Vazquez A. 10. Da Silva E. 18. Habib T.
Substitutes
15. Cantera M. 3. Dupont J. 11. Gandulfo L. 1. Marquez E. (G) 10. Muniz R. 21. Pino L. 28. Sanchez S. 27. Sosa F. 20. Vera D. 25. Wasilewsky L.
5. Bosca J. 15. Cheuquepal D. 33. Da Silva S. 14. De Los Santos E. 1. Machado F. (G) 81. Manzur I. 23. Sosa N. 11. Suarez F. 77. Tomatis B. 7. Varela J.
Coaches
Osella D.
Chambian C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Montiel M. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
37', Ferreira M. 🟨,
40', Aguilera M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sanchez S. ↓, Pino L. ↑,
48', Mendez I. 🟨,
51', Da Silva E. 🟨,
57', Camarda F. ↓, Sosa F. ↑,
57', Habib T. ↓, Da Silva S. ↑,
57', Da Silva E. ↓, Tomatis B. ↑,
59', Aguilera M. 🟨,
65', Villoldo A. 🟨,
65', 0 - 1, Da Silva S. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Mendez I. ↓, Muniz R. ↑,
72', Fernandez L. ↓, Vera D. ↑,
76', Ferreira M. ↓, Cheuquepal D. ↑,
76', Dudok R. ↓, Sosa N. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Sosa F. ⚽, Vera D. (A),
86', Cairus F. ↓, Suarez F. ↑,
88', Cesar Nunes 🟨,
90+6', Brazionis 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Español won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Racing is the team to beat.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Central Español won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Central Español won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).