Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 25

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Central Español		Atletico Fenix Montevideo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	2.88	3.2
	2.47	2.99	3.02
	2.29	2.92	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.15)	2.93 ↓ (3.07)	3.12 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Español
39.4%

Draw
31.2%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29.4%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

28.3%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2%)

Central Español - Atletico Fenix Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Fenix may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Central Español has had a series of away games.

Central Español is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Central Español won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Central Español won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Español
Uruguayan Segunda Division
11.10.25	Rampla Juniors - Central Español	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Central Español - Atenas de San Carlos	0:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
02.10.25	Defensor Sporting - Central Español	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.09.25	Artigas - Central Español	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Tacuarembó - Central Español	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLWT
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
10.10.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Tacuarembó	4:2 ✺
03.10.25	Rentistas - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - La Luz	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Cerrito - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:2 ✺
15.09.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.07.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Central Español	2:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.04.13	Central Español - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:3
21.10.12	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Central Español	1:2

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