Match Info
Segunda Division - Round 13Date: 8 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: Parque Capurro (Montevideo)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
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Atletico Fenix Montevideo |
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La Luz |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.93 |
3.10 |
3.50 |
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 |
2.05 |
3.10 |
3.25 |
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 |
1.99 |
3.28 |
3.82 |
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2 |
3.25 |
3.83 |
 Watch |
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1.97 |
3.15 |
3.75 |
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 |
1.95 |
3.28 |
3.96 |
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1.93 |
3.05 |
3.65 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(2.38) |
3.17 ↑
(3.16) |
3.68 ↑
(2.93) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Atletico Fenix Montevideo
46.3% | Draw
28.8% | La Luz
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atletico Fenix Montevideo's performance.La Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and La Luz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atletico Fenix Montevideo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that La Luz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Atletico Fenix Montevideo - La Luz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 47', 🟥,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenix won 2.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately. Fenix might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fenix won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, Fenix won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).
Standings
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Fenix | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 29 |
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| 9 | La Luz | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 19:24 | -5 | 27 |
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Last Results with these Odds
La Luz - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.66%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Uruguayan Segunda Division | | | 22.03.26 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo - La Luz | 0:0 | | 27.09.25 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo - La Luz | 0:2 | | 06.07.25 | La Luz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 2:2 | | 20.04.25 | La Luz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 0:2 | | Uruguayan Primera Division | | | 07.12.23 | La Luz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 0:2 | | 14.05.23 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo - La Luz | 0:2 | | Uruguay Copa | | | 31.08.22 | La Luz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 2:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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