Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 32

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena (Salta)


	Central Norte		Chacarita Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.82	3.1	Watch
	2.48	2.82	2.98
	2.44	3.05	3.22
	2.58	2.79	3.09	Watch
	2.54	2.86	3.08	Watch
	2.6	3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.58)	2.89 ↓ (2.97)	3.03 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Norte
36.9%

Draw
32.3%

Chacarita Juniors
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

30.9%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

29.9%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Chacarita Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Central Norte - Chacarita Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Central Norte will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Chacarita will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Norte (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Chacarita (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Norte (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Chacarita (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vazquez E. (G) 9. Bianciotti A. 2. Castilla G. 8. Chavarria C. 7. Mancuso G. 10. Moravec M. 5. Ribero M. 4. Rinaudo S. 6. Sanchez M. 3. Sanz P. 11. Tisera F.	1. Strumia J. (G) 6. Andueza F. 9. Apa S. 7. Araujo A. 11. Blanco R. 5. Bravo F. 2. Errecalde G. 10. Figueroa V. (C) 4. Gonzalez J. 3. Quiroga A. 8. Rodriguez Matias
Substitutes
20. Acosta R. 16. Alvez G. 15. Banega T. 13. Berra T. 18. Berrondo A. 12. Gonzalez A. (G) 19. Ledesma D. 17. Magno D. 14. Regules I.	13. Acosta S. 12. Balderrama M. A. (G) 15. Chaves N. 16. Ciccolini L. 14. Fernandez T. 19. Gerez E. 17. Napolitano A. 18. Ortiz T. 20. Rivero H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Ribero M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, Figueroa V. (Pen),
61', Chavarria C. ↓, Berrondo A. ↑,
61', Tisera F. ↓, Acosta R. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Bianciotti A. ⚽,
68', Rodriguez Matias ↓, Chaves N. ↑,
68', Araujo A. ↓, Ciccolini L. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Central Norte has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Chacarita has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Central Norte won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.09.25	San Telmo - Central Norte	3:1 ✺
07.09.25	Central Norte - Agropecuario Argentino	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Central Norte - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
18.08.25	Nueva Chicago - Central Norte	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLLWT
- Chacarita Juniors
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.09.25	Chacarita Juniors - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Chaco For Ever - Chacarita Juniors	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Chacarita Juniors - Mitre	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Colón - Chacarita Juniors	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Chacarita Juniors - Temperley	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.05.25	Chacarita Juniors - Central Norte	4:0

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