Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 29

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio 23 de Agosto (Jujuy)


	Gimnasia Jujuy		Central Norte

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.3	5.75	Watch
	1.66	3.1	5.75
	1.62	3.2	5.9	Watch
	1.75	3.32	6.33
	2.41	2.36	4.33	Watch
	1.7	3.1	6
	1.69	3.22	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.59)	3.09 ↓ (3.44)	5.67 ↓ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia Jujuy
52.8%

Draw
30.5%

Central Norte
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

26.8%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

25.7%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia Jujuy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia Jujuy's form might have worsened.

Central Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnasia Jujuy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Gimnasia Jujuy - Central Norte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez M. (G) 4. Palazzo B. 2. Cosaro G. 6. Dematei N. 3. Endrizzi E. 8. Camacho S. 5. Soria H. 7. Maidana F. 10. Molina F. 9. Quintana A. 11. Fernandez G.	1. Vazquez E. (G) 4. Regules I. 2. Gonzalez C. 6. Berra T. 3. Sanchez M. 8. Mancuso G. 5. Ribero M. 10. Berrondo A. 11. Sanz P. 7. Ferreyra L. 9. Ledesma D.
Substitutes
12. Anchoverri S. (G) 19. Casa M. 15. Dure F. 20. Juarez D. 14. Lopez D. 17. Noble M. 13. Sanchez S. 16. Trasante J. 18. Velazquez R.	19. Acosta R. 13. Alvacete J. 16. Alvez G. 14. Battigelli A. 20. Genes N. 12. Gonzalez A. (G) 17. Moravec M. 18. Tisera F. 15. Vaquero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Cosaro G. 🟨,
41', Dematei N. 🟨,
42', Cosaro G. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mancuso G. 🟨,
57', Ferreyra L. 🟨,
58', Sanz P. ↓, Vaquero J. ↑,
65', Berrondo A. ↓, Acosta R. ↑,
65', Mancuso G. ↓, Moravec M. ↑,
72', Maidana F. ↓, Casa M. ↑,
75', Vazquez E. 🟨,
80', 1 - 0, Camacho S. ⚽, Casa M. (A),
83', Ledesma D. ↓, Tisera F. ↑,
83', Sanchez M. ↓, Genes N. ↑,
87', Quintana A. ↓, Juarez D. ↑,
87', Molina F. ↓, Dure F. ↑,
89', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
90', Endrizzi E. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 14).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Gimnasia Jujuy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gimnasia Jujuy is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia Jujuy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.08.25	Almirante Brown - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:0 ✺
17.08.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Chaco For Ever	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	Mitre - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Colón	4:0 ✺
27.07.25	Temperley - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWTWL
- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.08.25	Central Norte - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
18.08.25	Nueva Chicago - Central Norte	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Almirante Brown - Central Norte	0:0 ✺
03.08.25	Central Norte - Chaco For Ever	0:1 ✺
27.07.25	Mitre - Central Norte	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.04.25	Central Norte - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:2
Club Friendly
16.02.24	Central Norte - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:0

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