Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 31

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Chacarita Juniors (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play


	Chacarita Juniors		Almirante Brown

	1	X	2
	2.01	3	4.1	Watch
	2.1	2.85	3.7
	2.08	2.82	3.95
	1.98	2.99	4.48
	2.23	2.87	3.68	Watch
	2.1	2.81	3.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.88)	2.89 ↓ (3)	3.98 ↓ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chacarita Juniors
44.6%

Draw
32.1%

Almirante Brown
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

30.6%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

30.4%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chacarita Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Chacarita Juniors - Almirante Brown Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Strumia J. (G) 4. Gonzalez J. 2. Errecalde G. 6. Quiroga A. 3. Chaves N. 7. Melendez M. 5. Bravo F. 8. Ortiz T. 10. Blanco R. (C) 9. Apa S. 11. Jaime M.	1. Galvan B. (G) 4. Cardozo E. 2. Dattola A. 6. Alegre Rojas G. 3. Villoldo T. 8. Iglesias L. 5. Machado W. 7. Acosta N. 10. Almada T. 9. Villalba S. 11. Flores G.
Substitutes
13. Acosta S. 12. Balderrama M. A. (G) 17. Ciccolini L. 14. Fernandez T. 18. Figueroa V. 16. Napolitano A. 15. Quiroz M. 20. Rivero H. 19. Rodriguez Matias	15. Cenci B. 14. Escalante L. 17. Escurra J. 20. Garcia D. 12. Martinez R. (G) 16. Quinteros T. 19. Vega L. 13. Velazquez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Melendez M. ↓, Rodriguez Matias ↑,
45+1', Acosta N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Acosta N. ↓, Escurra J. ↑,
61', Jaime M. ↓, Figueroa V. ↑,
61', Blanco R. ↓, Napolitano A. ↑,
61', Ortiz T. ↓, Rivero H. ↑,
66', Villalba S. 🟨,
68', Escurra J. 🟨,
74', Almada T. ↓, Vega L. ↑,
76', 0 - 1, Villalba S. ⚽,
80', Villalba S. ↓, Quinteros T. ↑,
90', Iglesias L. ↓, Escalante L. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Almirante Brown may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chacarita is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chacarita won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chacarita won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Almirante Brown - the odds 4.44 are the expected chance of winning is 20.65%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chacarita Juniors
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.09.25	Chaco For Ever - Chacarita Juniors	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Chacarita Juniors - Mitre	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Colón - Chacarita Juniors	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Chacarita Juniors - Temperley	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Defensores Unidos - Chacarita Juniors	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTTTT
- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.09.25	Almirante Brown - San Telmo	1:0 ✺
01.09.25	Agropecuario Argentino - Almirante Brown	3:1 ✺
24.08.25	Almirante Brown - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Almirante Brown - Central Norte	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.05.25	Almirante Brown - Chacarita Juniors	1:3
12.02.22	Almirante Brown - Chacarita Juniors	4:2
15.08.21	Almirante Brown - Chacarita Juniors	2:1
05.04.21	Chacarita Juniors - Almirante Brown	2:1
Argentinian Primera B
12.11.14	Chacarita Juniors - Almirante Brown	2:2

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