Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 28

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena (Salta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Central Norte		Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.8	2.55	Watch
	3.5	2.8	2.15
	3.2	2.72	2.42	Watch
	3.37	2.82	2.72
	3.21	2.44	2.87	Watch
	3.6	2.7	2.3
	3.28	2.73	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↓ (3.45)	2.72 ↓ (2.84)	2.49 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Norte
28.1%

Draw
34.4%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

32.6%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

31.3%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Central Norte - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Central Norte will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Gimnasia Mendoza (1.63) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vazquez E. (G) 15. Vaquero J. 2. Gonzalez C. 13. Berra T. 6. Sanchez M. 8. Mancuso G. 5. Ribero M. 10. Acosta R. 17. Ferreyra L. 7. Alvez G. 9. Tisera F.	1. Petruchi L. (G) 4. Cortez I. 2. Mondino D. 6. Gonzales 3. Saavedra F. 8. Barboza N. 5. Antonio I. 7. Torres F. 11. Lencioni F. 9. Ferreyra B. 10. Servetto N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Mancuso G. 🟨,
57', Torres F. ↓, Cingolani L. ↑,
57', Servetto N. ↓, Galeano M. ↑,
58', Vaquero J. ↓, Moravec M. ↑,
58', Alvez G. ↓, Berrondo A. ↑,
68', Ledesma D. ↓, Ferreyra L. ↑,
75', Mancuso G. ↓, Banega T. ↑,
75', Tisera F. ↓, Acosta R. ↑,
78', Moravec M. 🟨,
82', Ferreyra B. 🟨,
88', Barboza N. ↓, Bustos L. ↑,
89', Lencioni F. 🟨,
90+1', Cortez I. 🟥,
90+1', Cortez I. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 0, Berrondo A. ⚽,
90+5', Berrondo A. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )).

Recent performances by Central Norte have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gimnasia Mendoza is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gimnasia Mendoza could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Central Norte won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.08.25	Nueva Chicago - Central Norte	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Almirante Brown - Central Norte	0:0 ✺
03.08.25	Central Norte - Chaco For Ever	0:1 ✺
27.07.25	Mitre - Central Norte	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Central Norte - Colón	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TTLWL
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.08.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Chaco For Ever - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:2 ✺
03.08.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Mitre	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Colón - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Temperley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.04.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Central Norte	1:0

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