Match Info

ARGENTINA: TORNEO FEDERAL - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Central Norte		Sportivo Las Parejas

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	3.8
	1.87	3.2	4	Watch
	1.9	3.17	4.22
	1.9	3.17	4.22
	1.8	3.1	4
	1.82	3.18	4.2
	1.88	3.15	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.18)	3.15 ↑ (2.93)	4.06 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Norte
48.8%

Draw
28.8%

Sportivo Las Parejas
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

30.8%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

31.1%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Central Norte's performance.

Sportivo Las Parejas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Las Parejas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Central Norte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Las Parejas than the current prediction. (+5%)

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Central Norte won 4.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Central Norte is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Central Norte won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Central Norte won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.10.23	Boca Unidos - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Central Norte - Juventud Antoniana	1:3 ✺
07.10.23	Crucero del Norte - Central Norte	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Central Norte - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	General San Martín de Formosa - Central Norte	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LLTWT
- Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.10.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:2 ✺
15.10.23	Sportivo Las Parejas - Independiente Chivilcoy	4:1 ✺
30.09.23	El Linqueño - Sportivo Las Parejas	3:0 ✺
24.09.23	Sportivo Las Parejas - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	2:0 ✺
17.09.23	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.08.22	Sportivo Las Parejas - Central Norte	0:1
06.05.22	Central Norte - Sportivo Las Parejas	3:1
31.10.21	Central Norte - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:0
01.08.21	Sportivo Las Parejas - Central Norte	2:1
10.01.21	Central Norte - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:0
15.02.20	Sportivo Las Parejas - Central Norte	3:0
22.09.19	Central Norte - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:1

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