Match Info

Date: 4 November 2020, Wednesday


	Cerezo Osaka U23		Nagano Parceiro

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.7	1.62
	5	3.8	1.55	Watch
	5	3.75	1.55
	5.42	4.03	1.57
	5.25	3.7	1.6
	5.15	3.9	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.05 ↑ (4.21)	3.81 ↑ (3.55)	1.58 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerezo Osaka U23
18.1%

Draw
24%

Nagano Parceiro
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

25.6%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

16.7%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerezo Osaka U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Nagano Parceiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nagano Parceiro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka U23 than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerezo Osaka U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (-23.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nagano Parceiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cerezo Osaka U23 - Nagano Parceiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 and 4).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Nagano is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka U23 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerezo Osaka U23
Japan J3 League
31.10.20	Gainare Tottori - Cerezo Osaka U23	0:1 ✺
25.10.20	Cerezo Osaka U23 - Gamba Osaka U23	1:1 ✺
18.10.20	Kagoshima United - Cerezo Osaka U23	0:0 ✺
11.10.20	Cerezo Osaka U23 - Blaublitz Akita	2:3 ✺
07.10.20	Fukushima United - Cerezo Osaka U23	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTTLL
- AC Nagano Parceiro
Japan J3 League
31.10.20	Nagano Parceiro - Kataller Toyama	0:1 ✺
25.10.20	Fukushima United - Nagano Parceiro	1:0 ✺
18.10.20	Nagano Parceiro - Vanraure Hachinohe	3:1 ✺
11.10.20	Fujieda MYFC - Nagano Parceiro	0:0 ✺
07.10.20	Nagano Parceiro - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
13.09.20	Nagano Parceiro - Cerezo Osaka U23	2:0

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