Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 18

Date: 22 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Nagano U Stadium (Nagano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Nagano Parceiro		Kataller Toyama

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	2.65
	2.3	3.3	2.8	Watch
	2.31	3.45	2.92
	2.31	3.45	2.92
	2.2	3.3	2.7
	2.27	3.28	2.85	Watch
	2.27	3.3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.39)	3.33 ↑ (3.2)	2.81 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nagano Parceiro
40.1%

Draw
27.4%

Kataller Toyama
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

28.7%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

28.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nagano Parceiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Kataller Toyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Nagano Parceiro - Kataller Toyama Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nagano will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Kataller Toyama will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kim Min-Ho (G) 5. Ikegaya H. 7. Ono Y. 19. Sugii H. 33. Ando K. 6. Nishimura Y. 26. Park S. 13. Konishi H. 8. Kondo T. 10. Yamanaka R. 18. Ukita K.	1. Tagawa T. (G) 23. Nishiya S. 2. Wakimoto K. 46. Kawakami Y. 25. Yasumitsu S. 24. Kawai Y. 16. Sueki H. 8. Matsuoka D. 33. Takahashi Y. 27. Yoshihira T. 10. Leiria Dos Santos M.
Substitutes
29. Kudo S. 23. Kuroishi T. 17. Kutsuna K. 35. Lee S. 11. Shin K. 1. Tajiri K. (G) 40. Usui T.	28. Fuseya S. 18. Ito T. 11. Matsumoto K. 26. Nabeta A. 31. Saito K. (G) 17. Tsubokawa H. 9. Usui S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Kondo T. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Sugii H. ⚽, Ikegaya H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Leiria Dos Santos M. ↓, Usui S. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Yamanaka R. ⚽,
49', Wakimoto K. 🟨,
52', Kawakami Y. ↓, Nabeta A. ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Takahashi Y. ⚽,
69', Matsuoka D. ↓, Fuseya S. ↑,
71', Kondo T. ↓, Kutsuna K. ↑,
71', Ando K. ↓, Kuroishi T. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Sueki H. ⚽,
80', Ukita K. ↓, Shin K. ↑,
80', Park S. ↓, Usui T. ↑,
80', Yoshihira T. ↓, Ito T. ↑,
80', Kawai Y. ↓, Tsubokawa H. ↑,
86', Yamanaka R. ↓, Lee S. ↑,
89', Lee S. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 3, Ito T. ⚽, Yasumitsu S. (A),
90+3', Kutsuna K. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Nagano Parceiro
Japan J3 League
16.06.24	Grulla Morioka - Nagano Parceiro	3:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Tokyo Verdy - Nagano Parceiro	5:0 ✺
Japan J3 League
08.06.24	Nagano Parceiro - YSCC	4:0 ✺
01.06.24	Omiya Ardija - Nagano Parceiro	4:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
22.05.24	Nagano Parceiro - Consadole Sapporo	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLL
- Kataller Toyama
Japan J3 League
16.06.24	Kataller Toyama - Omiya Ardija	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Vissel Kobe - Kataller Toyama	2:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
09.06.24	Kataller Toyama - Consadole Sapporo	1:2 ✺
05.06.24	Consadole Sapporo - Kataller Toyama	1:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
02.06.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Kataller Toyama	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
23.09.23	Nagano Parceiro - Kataller Toyama	3:1
26.03.23	Kataller Toyama - Nagano Parceiro	3:3
14.08.22	Nagano Parceiro - Kataller Toyama	1:0
25.06.22	Kataller Toyama - Nagano Parceiro	1:0
11.09.21	Kataller Toyama - Nagano Parceiro	3:0
20.06.21	Nagano Parceiro - Kataller Toyama	4:0
31.10.20	Nagano Parceiro - Kataller Toyama	0:1

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