Match Info

Date: 22 August 2020, Saturday


	Cerezo Osaka U23		Sagamihara

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.1
	3.1	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.11
	3.16	3.36	2.25
	3.1	3.2	2.2
	3.1	3.38	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.78)	3.29 ↑ (3.28)	2.15 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerezo Osaka U23
29.6%

Draw
27.8%

Sagamihara
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

27.6%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

21.6%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerezo Osaka U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka U23 than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sagamihara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cerezo Osaka U23 - Sagamihara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 8).

Cerezo Osaka U23 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sagamihara is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sagamihara will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerezo Osaka U23
Japan J3 League
15.08.20	Fujieda MYFC - Cerezo Osaka U23	3:2 ✺
08.08.20	Cerezo Osaka U23 - YSCC	0:0 ✺
02.08.20	Grulla Morioka - Cerezo Osaka U23	3:1 ✺
29.07.20	Cerezo Osaka U23 - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:1 ✺
25.07.20	Cerezo Osaka U23 - Kagoshima United	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLTL
- SC Sagamihara
Japan J3 League
15.08.20	Sagamihara - Gifu	3:1 ✺
10.08.20	Kataller Toyama - Sagamihara	3:0 ✺
02.08.20	Sagamihara - Kagoshima United	2:1 ✺
29.07.20	Blaublitz Akita - Sagamihara	3:1 ✺
25.07.20	Sagamihara - Grulla Morioka	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWLL

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