Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 19

Date: 29 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Toyama Stadium (Toyama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kataller Toyama		Sagamihara

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.2	4
	1.8	3.3	4.2	Watch
	1.87	3.33	4.51
	1.83	3.32	4.16
	1.73	3.2	4.2
	1.77	3.25	4.47	Watch
	1.82	3.25	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.77)	3.26 ↑ (3.25)	4.23 ↓ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kataller Toyama
50.6%

Draw
27.9%

Sagamihara
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

28.1%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

27.7%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kataller Toyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Kataller Toyama - Sagamihara Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Kataller Toyama will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Sagamihara will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kataller Toyama: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tagawa T. (G) 23. Nishiya S. 2. Wakimoto K. 4. Kamiyama K. 25. Yasumitsu S. 24. Kawai Y. 17. Tsubokawa H. 28. Fuseya S. 19. Inoue N. 27. Yoshihira T. 11. Matsumoto K.	1. Miura M. (G) 2. Kato D. 4. Yamashita R. 55. Tashiro M. 8. Hashimoto R. 20. Wakabayashi R. 40. Hasegawa Y. 6. Tokunaga Y. 16. Takano R. 14. Takagi A. 17. Ito K.
Substitutes
18. Ito T. 8. Matsuoka D. 26. Nabeta A. 31. Saito K. (G) 16. Sueki H. 33. Takahashi Y. 9. Usui S.	96. Bruno Santos 47. Iwakami Y. 7. Kinjo J. T. 15. Maeda T. 24. Makiyama K. 39. Senuma Y. 21. Takeshige A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Hasegawa Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Yoshihira T. ↓, Ito T. ↑,
59', Tsubokawa H. ↓, Sueki H. ↑,
60', Takagi A. ↓, Bruno Santos ↑,
60', Takano R. ↓, Makiyama K. ↑,
68', Inoue N. ↓, Usui S. ↑,
68', Fuseya S. ↓, Takahashi Y. ↑,
70', Tashiro M. ↓, Kinjo J. T. ↑,
70', Hasegawa Y. ↓, Iwakami Y. ↑,
82', Kawai Y. 🟨,
83', Kawai Y. ↓, Matsuoka D. ↑,
83', Ito K. ↓, Senuma Y. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kataller Toyama won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Sagamihara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kataller Toyama is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Kataller Toyama won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Kataller Toyama won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kataller Toyama
Japan J3 League
26.06.24	Kataller Toyama - Grulla Morioka	3:0 ✺
22.06.24	Nagano Parceiro - Kataller Toyama	2:3 ✺
16.06.24	Kataller Toyama - Omiya Ardija	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Vissel Kobe - Kataller Toyama	2:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
09.06.24	Kataller Toyama - Consadole Sapporo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWTLL
- SC Sagamihara
Japan J3 League
22.06.24	Sagamihara - Matsumoto Yamaga	3:2 ✺
16.06.24	Imabari - Sagamihara	2:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Montedio Yamagata - Sagamihara	3:2 ✺
Japan J3 League
08.06.24	Nara Club - Sagamihara	2:1 ✺
02.06.24	Sagamihara - Grulla Morioka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
02.09.23	Kataller Toyama - Sagamihara	1:2
04.05.23	Sagamihara - Kataller Toyama	1:1
02.10.22	Kataller Toyama - Sagamihara	1:0
29.05.22	Sagamihara - Kataller Toyama	0:1
27.09.20	Sagamihara - Kataller Toyama	3:2
10.08.20	Kataller Toyama - Sagamihara	3:0

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