Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 5

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel (Maldonado)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Deportivo Maldonado		Albion Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.7	Watch
	2.05	3.20	3.30
	1.95	3.25	3.65
	2	3.45	3.98
	2.06	3.32	3.62	Watch
	2.03	3.35	3.75
	1.94	3.38	3.88	Watch
	1.99	3.3	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.4)	3.33 ↑ (3.25)	3.7 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maldonado
46.7%

Draw
28.1%

Albion Montevideo
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

28.8%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Maldonado's performance.

Albion Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Albion Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	21.1%	0%

Deportivo Maldonado - Albion Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Maldonado will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maldonado: 60.6% – 97.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Segovia D. (G) 19. Tealde F. 32. Petryk H. 33. Fuica N. 7. Larrazabal G. 8. Gonzalez M. 17. Ramirez S. 20. Tormo S. 28. Cartagena S. 14. Tabo C. 16. Cesar R.	1. Jaume S. (G) 34. Pereira A. 2. Couture F. 24. Burdin E. 16. Alvarez J. 15. Alcoba P. 5. Ginella F. (C) 27. Costa S. 22. Vera A. 9. Lopez A. 10. Airala C.
Substitutes
26. Correa A. 42. Fernandez J. 1. Freitas A. (G) 4. Ginzo J. M. 30. Ibanez F. 11. Lopez G. 31. Marino F. 29. Mozzone E. 10. Noble Sequeira A. M. 5. Nunez L.	18. Acosta B. 17. de los Santos M. 32. Figueroa T. 20. Gutierrez R. 13. Lacoste P. 80. Leonardo Pais 31. Lerda D. (G) 8. Perdomo O. 29. Puente F. 11. Toledo H.
Coaches
Di Noia G.	Nieves F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Jaume S. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Tormo S. 🟨,
60', Ginella F. 🟨,
63', Cesar R. ↓, Noble Sequeira A. M. ↑,
63', Cartagena S. ↓, Nunez L. ↑,
66', Vera A. ↓, Toledo H. ↑,
66', Alcoba P. ↓, Acosta B. ↑,
72', 🟨,
75', Ramirez S. 🟨,
80', 1 - 1, Lopez A. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Tealde F. ↓, Lopez G. ↑,
86', Ramirez S. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
90+1', Ginella F. ↓, de los Santos M. ↑,
90+1', Alvarez J. ↓, Puente F. ↑,
90+5', Pereira A. ↓, Gutierrez R. ↑,
90+6', Tabo C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maldonado won 2.

Maldonado is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Maldonado will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Maldonado won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Maldonado won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Maldonado	9	5	2	2	13:5	8	17
16	Albion	9	1	0	8	9:18	-9	3

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Maldonado - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.97%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.06.26	Montevideo City Torque - Deportivo Maldonado	2:4 ✺
31.05.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Nacional Montevideo	3:0 ✺
24.05.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1 ✺
18.05.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Danubio	3:1 ✺
11.05.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Boston River	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWTWW
- Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.06.26	Progreso - Albion Montevideo	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	Albion Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Nacional Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Albion Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Danubio - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
25.04.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Albion Montevideo	1:2
Uruguayan Segunda Division
14.09.25	Albion Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:0
22.06.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Albion Montevideo	0:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
24.10.22	Albion Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:3
15.07.22	Albion Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	2:3
04.06.22	Deportivo Maldonado - Albion Montevideo	0:0
Uruguayan Segunda Division
24.08.19	Albion Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:2

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