The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Maldonado 46.5%
Draw 29.2%
Albion Montevideo 24.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.3%
25.5%
20.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.4%
24.1%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Maldonado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Maldonado's form might have worsened.
Albion Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Maldonado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Albion Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Maldonado will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Albion will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Tabo C. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
59', 2 - 1, Mozzone E. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 1, Cartagena S. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 1, Araujo A. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maldonado won 1.
Maldonado is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Albion have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Maldonado could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Maldonado is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Maldonado has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:9 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Maldonado against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:4 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).
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Uruguay
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