Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 7

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Charrúa (Montevideo)


	Cerrito		Rampla Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.95	2.25
	2.92	3.46	2.27
				Watch
	3.2	2.75	2.3
	3.01	2.93	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (4.53)	3.02 ↓ (3.4)	2.29 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerrito
30.2%

Draw
30.1%

Rampla Juniors
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

27.1%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

23.2%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerrito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cerrito's performance.

Rampla Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rampla Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cerrito that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rampla Juniors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cerrito - Rampla Juniors Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Cerrito (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Cerrito (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerrito (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Millacet F. ⚽,
44', Graces A. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
87', 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerrito won 1.

Cerrito is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rampla Juniors's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Cerrito has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cerrito won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:7. (average 0.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerrito won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Segunda Division
15.06.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Cerrito	3:0 ✺
09.06.25	Central Español - Cerrito	3:0 ✺
03.06.25	Tacuarembó - Cerrito	2:0 ✺
31.05.25	Cerrito - Rentistas	1:2 ✺
24.05.25	La Luz - Cerrito	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLT
- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Segunda Division
16.06.25	Rampla Juniors - Colón Montevideo	1:0 ✺
08.06.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
03.06.25	Rampla Juniors - Oriental de La Paz	1:2 ✺
31.05.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:1 ✺
25.05.25	Rampla Juniors - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
03.12.23	Rampla Juniors - Cerrito	5:0
30.07.23	Cerrito - Rampla Juniors	1:1
12.10.20	Rampla Juniors - Cerrito	1:1
17.08.20	Cerrito - Rampla Juniors	0:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.05.12	Cerrito - Rampla Juniors	N/A

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