Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 17

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Charrúa (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Cerrito		Paysandú

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.20	3.80
	1.97	3.15	3.45
	1.95	3.31	3.96
	2.05	3.3	3.59	Watch
	1.88	3.30	3.85
	1.89	3.40	4.08
	1.84	3.15	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (1.97)	3.26 ↑ (3.15)	3.8 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerrito
47.8%

Draw
28.1%

Paysandú
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

28.4%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

29.5%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerrito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Paysandú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandú than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Cerrito - Paysandú Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Mendez A. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Schetino A. ⚽,
30', 1 - 2, Lopez L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 11).

Cerrito is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Paysandú's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cerrito may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cerrito will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cerrito won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Cerrito	21	7	8	6	27:24	3	29
11	Paysandu FC	21	7	4	10	26:28	-2	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Cerrito
Uruguay Copa
02.09.26	Cerrito - Deportivo Maldonado	0:2 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.08.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Cerrito	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Cerrito - Uruguay Montevideo	3:0 ✺
14.08.26	Cerrito - Oriental de La Paz	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Colón Montevideo - Cerrito	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWTL
- Paysandú FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.08.26	Paysandú - Atenas de San Carlos	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Paysandú - River Plate Montevideo	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Paysandú	3:2 ✺
08.08.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Paysandú	1:0 ✺
03.08.26	Paysandú - Oriental de La Paz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
30.05.26	Paysandú - Cerrito	0:1

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