Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera (Montevideo)

Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Cerro		Racing Montevideo

	1	X	2
	4.5	3	1.8	Watch
	4.40	3.10	1.82
	4.3	3	1.85
	4.85	3.29	1.89
	4.58	3.22	1.87	Watch
	4.75	3.25	1.85
	4.6	3.04	1.81	Watch
	4.5	3.1	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↑ (4.35)	3.13 ↓ (3.15)	1.84 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro
20.3%

Draw
29.6%

Racing Montevideo
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

28.8%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

28%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Cerro - Racing Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: Racing Montevideo will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Irrazabal Y. (G) 22. Suarez D. 16. Guasone J. 21. Arena N. 17. Rodriguez G. 31. Amaro J. 5. Macelli A. (C) 10. Aleman B. 27. Barros C. 28. Cambon A. 77. Leonardo Pais	12. Varese F. (G) 20. Bentancor E. 29. Gonzalez F. 13. Alvarez F. 34. Agustin De la Cuesta 5. Bosca J. 37. Oyarzo Y. 39. Vazquez A. 30. Gadea R. 10. Da Silva E. 9. Da Silva S.
Substitutes
1. Denis D. (G) 11. Forclaz E. 3. Lima A. 32. Mederos R. 8. Miranda A. 35. Nongoy P. 14. Rodriguez E. 7. Severo A. 19. Sosa E. 20. Villar M.	44. Aragones L. 15. Cheuquepal D. 22. Fernandez T. 40. Gallo S. 18. Habib T. 1. Machado F. (G) 81. Manzur I. 23. Sosa N. 11. Suarez F. 27. Unyicio M.
Coaches
Cappuccio A.	Chambian C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Suarez D. ⚽,
30', Amaro J. 🟨,
45+1', Barros C. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Amaro J. ↓, Sosa E. ↑,
46', Aleman B. ↓, Nongoy P. ↑,
60', Agustin De la Cuesta ↓, Suarez F. ↑,
60', Gadea R. ↓, Sosa N. ↑,
66', Leonardo Pais ↓, Severo A. ↑,
66', Bosca J. 🟨,
68', Cambon A. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
73', Bosca J. ↓, Gallo S. ↑,
79', Da Silva S. ↓, Habib T. ↑,
79', Bentancor E. ↓, Unyicio M. ↑,
83', Suarez D. 🟨,
84', Vazquez A. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 2.

Cerro has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Racing is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Cerro has had a series of away games.

In this match, Racing is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 0.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerro won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.8:0.8).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	CA Cerro	9	4	2	3	9:11	-2	14
9	Racing Montevideo	9	3	3	3	9:8	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Cerro
Uruguay Copa
01.09.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.08.26	Boston River - Cerro	1:1 ✺
21.08.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro	4:0 ✺
15.08.26	Cerro - Albion Montevideo	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Danubio - Cerro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 TTLWW
- Racing Montevideo
Uruguay Copa
03.09.26	Oriental de La Paz - Racing Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.08.26	Racing Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Danubio - Racing Montevideo	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Racing Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	2:0 ✺
10.08.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Racing Montevideo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
26.07.26	Cerro - Racing Montevideo	1:0
08.03.26	Racing Montevideo - Cerro	1:0
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
14.01.26	Racing Montevideo - Cerro	2:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
10.08.25	Cerro - Racing Montevideo	1:2
08.02.25	Racing Montevideo - Cerro	0:1
20.10.24	Cerro - Racing Montevideo	1:1
19.04.24	Racing Montevideo - Cerro	1:1

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