The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montevideo City Torque 59.5%
Draw 25%
Cerro Largo 15.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.9%
28.7%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
28.2%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montevideo City Torque's performance.
Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cerro Largo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (-14.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montevideo City Torque that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro Largo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Montevideo City Torque - Cerro Largo Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Montevideo City will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cerro Largo will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Rodriguez G. (G) 17. Aguero E. 3. Silva K. 24. Kagelmacher G. (C) 26. Silvera F. 5. Pizzichillo F. 8. Siles P. 20. Montes G. 10. Obregon E. 9. Rodriguez S. 7. Andrade L.
12. Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. (G) 17. Hernandez A. 14. Correa L. 3. Piegas A. 20. Franca S. 8. Garcia M. 15. Assis S. 5. Marcel S. 11. de Luca A. 18. Daguerre D. 37. Segovia A.
Substitutes
12. Aguiar M. (G) 15. Busquets E. 11. Da Silva N. 23. Dure L. 22. Gutierrez B. 19. Guzman D. 18. Lecchini R. 21. Perez N. 27. Taran J. 14. Zampieri S.
27. Alvez F. 22. Bertocchi N. 21. Brun S. 26. de Leon E. 24. Gonzalez L. (G) 25. Jourdan E. 29. Lozano B. 9. Piriz L. 28. Ramos N. 7. Viera G.
Coaches
Mendez M.
Nunez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Montes G. 🟨,
35', Silvera F. 🟨,
39', Obregon E. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Marcel S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Pizzichillo F. ↓, Da Silva N. ↑,
46', Montes G. ↓, Guzman D. ↑,
50', Aguero E. 🟨,
50', Piegas A. 🟨,
54', Assis S. 🟨,
67', Daguerre D. ↓, Ramos N. ↑,
69', Segovia A. 🟨,
70', Silva K. ↓, Zampieri S. ↑,
70', Silvera F. ↓, Busquets E. ↑,
75', Segovia A. 🟨,
78', Andrade L. ↓, Lecchini R. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Da Silva N. ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, Obregon E. ⚽,
89', Assis S. ↓, Piriz L. ↑,
89', Franca S. ↓, Jourdan E. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 3.
Montevideo City is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Cerro Largo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Cerro Largo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Montevideo City is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Montevideo City will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Montevideo City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Montevideo City
9
6
1
2
19:10
9
19
14
Cerro Largo
9
0
5
4
6:12
-6
5
Last Results with these Odds
Montevideo City Torque - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.94%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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Rodriguez G. (G) 
Silva K. 
Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. (G) 
