The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Plaza Colonia 38.5%
Draw 33.6%
Cerro Largo 27.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.1%
27.8%
36.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.8%
28%
36.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plaza Colonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cerro Largo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro Largo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
14.3%
14.3%
Plaza Colonia - Cerro Largo Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Plaza Colonia will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Cerro Largo will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Plaza Colonia (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Plaza Colonia will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Plaza Colonia (votes: 5 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Vergara H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 2 - 0, Amoroso V. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 1.
Plaza Colonia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Cerro Largo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Plaza Colonia won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Plaza Colonia - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 36.12%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
South-america
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