The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensor Sporting 37%
Draw 30.7%
Liverpool Montevideo 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.4%
30.4%
36.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Defensor Sporting - Liverpool Montevideo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Dawson K. (G) 11. Agazzi L. 3. De los Santos G. (C) 2. Elizalde E. 15. Frugone A. 5. Barrios G. 55. Rabunal M. 8. Wunsch N. 29. Pozzo T. A. 7. Medina N. 26. Montenegro B.
1. Bernatene M. (G) 3. Strasorier S. 23. Castillo E. 18. Cayetano A. 4. Perdomo F. 5. Garayalde N. 16. Acosta L. 34. Lewis K. 7. Martinez F. (C) 9. Machado R. 19. Bentancourt R.
Substitutes
25. Abella D. 20. Caballero M. 77. Castro F. 30. Cuello E. 24. de los Santos L. 1. Machado L. (G) 99. Navarro L. 9. Neris J. 16. Perdomo A. 22. Torterolo A.
31. Barcelo F. 26. Brizuela T. 25. Campana M. (G) 17. de Mello G. 15. Laquidain S. 6. Milano S. 8. Mir M. 11. Nunez J. 27. Romero D. 22. Zabala D.
Coaches
Larriera M.
Fossati J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Bentancourt R. (Penalty Awarded),
30', Pozzo T. A. 🟨,
39', Bentancourt R. 🟨,
43', Cayetano A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Montenegro B. ↓, Neris J. ↑,
46', Wunsch N. ↓, Navarro L. ↑,
47', Acosta L. 🟨,
61', Martinez F. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
63', Pozzo T. A. 🟥,
73', Medina N. ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
73', Barrios G. ↓, de los Santos L. ↑,
75', Rabunal M. 🟨,
76', Machado R. ↓, Barcelo F. ↑,
76', Bentancourt R. ↓, Brizuela T. ↑,
79', Lewis K. 🟨,
81', 0 - 2, Barcelo F. ⚽,
86', Elizalde E. 🟨,
87', Lewis K. ↓, Laquidain S. ↑,
87', Acosta L. ↓, de Mello G. ↑,
90', Cuello E. 🟨,
90', Rabunal M. ↓, Torterolo A. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 3, Barcelo F. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', 0 - 4, Romero D. ⚽,
90+5', Romero D. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 2.
Recent form of Defensor Sporting has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Defensor Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:32. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.2:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Defensor Sporting - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.37%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.