Match Info

Date: 17 July 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio General Pablo Rojas (Asunción)

Referee: de Vivar M. D. (Par)


	Cerro Porteño		12 de Octubre

	1	X	2
	1.4	4	7
	1.43	3.7	7.25
	1.4	3.8	8.5
	1.43	3.85	7.4
	1.47	4.03	9.33
	1.42	3.75	7.5	Watch
	1.43	4.05	8.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.43)	3.88 ↓ (3.96)	7.87 ↑ (7.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro Porteño
64.6%

Draw
23.7%

12 de Octubre
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

23.3%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

22.2%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

12 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 12 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	15.8%	10.5%

Cerro Porteño - 12 de Octubre Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). 12 de Octubre will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerro Porteño: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 4.

Recent matches Cerro Porteño is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

12 de Octubre is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Cerro Porteño is absolute favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 26-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Cerro Porteño won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Porteño
Copa Libertadores
06.07.22	Palmeiras - Cerro Porteño	5:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
02.07.22	Cerro Porteño - Tacuary	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.06.22	Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras	0:3 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.06.22	Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	1:0 ✺
21.06.22	Cerro Porteño - General Caballero JLM	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLW
- 12 de Octubre FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
03.07.22	12 de Octubre - General Caballero JLM	1:3 ✺
26.06.22	Olimpia Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	4:1 ✺
22.06.22	Resistencia - 12 de Octubre	0:1 ✺
18.06.22	12 de Octubre - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
12.06.22	Sol de América - 12 de Octubre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
18.06.22	12 de Octubre - Cerro Porteño	0:1
01.04.22	Cerro Porteño - 12 de Octubre	2:0
28.11.21	Cerro Porteño - 12 de Octubre	1:0
12.09.21	12 de Octubre - Cerro Porteño	0:1
23.05.21	Cerro Porteño - 12 de Octubre	0:1
13.03.21	12 de Octubre - Cerro Porteño	0:2
18.12.20	12 de Octubre - Cerro Porteño	2:1

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