Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 29 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio General Pablo Rojas (Asunción)

Referee: Roldan W. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1


	Cerro Porteño		Colo-Colo

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.5
	2.2	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.27	3.14	3.68
	2.23	3.14	3.68
	2.1	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3.28	3.55	Watch
	2.14	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.41)	3.15 ↓ (3.21)	3.51 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cerro Porteño
43.2%

Draw
30%

Colo-Colo
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

29.2%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

29.4%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colo-Colo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colo-Colo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.2%	17.4%	17.4%

Cerro Porteño - Colo Colo Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Colo-Colo will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerro Porteño: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Jean (G) 2. Benitez A. 4. Eduardo Brock 35. De Jesus R. 21. Arzamendia S. 8. Carrizo F. 33. Peralta F. 26. Piris R. 11. Iturbe J. 19. Diego Churin (C) 10. Dominguez C.	1. Cortes B. (G) 16. Opazo Lara O. 4. Saldivia A. 37. Falcon M. 21. Wiemberg E. 8. Pavez E. 19. Castellani G. 5. Gil L. 11. Bolados M. 29. Paiva G. 7. Carlos Palacios
Substitutes
17. Aguayo G. 34. Benitez M. 32. Cabanas V. 6. Carrascal R. 9. Edu 40. Fernandez F. 1. Martin A. (G) 15. Melgarejo R. 5. Morel J. 39. Portillo Avalos T. G. 27. Riveros L. 20. Viera W.	15. Amor E. 22. Benegas L. 32. Cepeda L. 30. De Paul F. (G) 33. Gonzalez R. 13. Gutierrez B. 3. Gutierrez D. 26. Moya M. 34. Pizarro V. 2. Rojas J. 28. Soto L. 14. Zavala C.
Coaches
Jimenez M.	Almiron J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Peralta F. 🟨,
17', Saldivia A. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Carlos Palacios (Pen),
35', 1 - 1, Carrizo F. ⚽, Piris R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Carrizo F. ↓, Aguayo G. ↑,
57', De Jesus R. 🟨,
64', Gil L. ↓, Zavala C. ↑,
74', Iturbe J. ↓, Fernandez F. ↑,
75', Bolados M. ↓, Pizarro V. ↑,
82', Pavez E. ↓, Amor E. ↑,
83', Paiva G. ↓, Benegas L. ↑,
87', Piris R. ↓, Edu ↑,
90', Cortes B. 🟨,
90+1', Benegas L. 🟨,
90+11', Benitez A. 🟥,

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Colo-Colo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cerro Porteño will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.05.24	Tacuary - Cerro Porteño	1:3 ✺
22.05.24	Cerro Porteño - Guaraní Asuncion	2:0 ✺
19.05.24	Sol de América - Cerro Porteño	0:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.05.24	Fluminense - Cerro Porteño	2:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
12.05.24	Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWLT
- Colo-Colo
Chilean Primera Division
25.05.24	Deportes Iquique - Colo-Colo	0:3 ✺
19.05.24	Colo-Colo - Palestino	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.05.24	Alianza Lima - Colo-Colo	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
12.05.24	Audax Italiano - Colo-Colo	1:4 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.05.24	Colo-Colo - Fluminense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
03.04.24	Colo-Colo - Cerro Porteño	1:0

Upcoming Matches