Match Info

Serie B - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Dino Manuzzi (Cesena)

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Cesena		Palermo

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.35	Watch
	2.98	2.98	2.42
	3.17	3.01	2.6
	1.71	3.19	5.88	Watch
	2.92	3.24	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (2.84)	3.1 ↓ (3.13)	3.15 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cesena
35.9%

Draw
32.3%

Palermo
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

30.4%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

31.5%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	63.6%	18.2%

Cesena - Palermo Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Palermo will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 7 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Klinsmann J. (G) 15. Ciofi A. (C) 19. Zaro G. 24. Mangraviti M. 11. Ciervo R. 70. Francesconi M. 4. Castagnetti M. 17. Adamo E. 7. Blesa J. 14. Berti T. 9. Shpendi C.	66. Joronen J. (G) 27. Pierozzi N. 13. Bani M. 32. Ceccaroni P. 11. Gyasi E. 8. Segre J. (C) 6. Gomes C. 3. Augello T. 5. Palumbo A. 21. Le Douaron J. 20. Pohjanpalo J.
Substitutes
16. Amoran P. 6. Arrigoni T. 29. Balde S. 10. Bastoni S. 25. Bisoli D. 13. Celia R. 40. Ferretti L. (G) 18. Guidi M. 23. Magni V. 32. Olivieri M. 26. Piacentini M. 1. Siano A. (G)	30. Avella M. (G) 19. Bereszynski B. 28. Blin A. 9. Brunori M. 31. Corona G. 17. Giovane S. 29. Peda P. 77. Pizzuto S. (G) 14. Vasic A. 72. Veroli D.
Coaches
Mignani M.	Inzaghi F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Zaro G. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Blesa J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Segre J. ↓, Blin A. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Bani M. ⚽, Augello T. (A),
57', Castagnetti M. 🟨,
62', Castagnetti M. ↓, Bastoni S. ↑,
62', Shpendi C. ↓, Balde S. ↑,
64', Le Douaron J. ↓, Brunori M. ↑,
64', Gyasi E. ↓, Peda P. ↑,
68', Blin A. 🟨,
69', Palumbo A. ↓, Giovane S. ↑,
70', Berti T. ↓, Bisoli D. ↑,
70', Ciervo R. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
82', Gomes C. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
86', Ciofi A. ↓, Piacentini M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Palermo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Cesena: Frabotta G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Palermo: Bardi F. (Inactive) Gomis A. (Arm Injury)

There are questionable in Cesena: Ciervo R. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Cesena - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 33.5%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Palermo - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 36.11%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
20.09.25	Venezia - Cesena	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Sampdoria - Cesena	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Cesena - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Pescara - Cesena	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia
17.08.25	Cesena - Pisa	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWTWL
- U.S. Città di Palermo
Coppa Italia
23.09.25	Udinese - Palermo	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
19.09.25	Palermo - Bari	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Palermo	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Palermo - Frosinone	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Palermo - Reggiana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
04.05.25	Cesena - Palermo	2:1
21.09.24	Palermo - Cesena	0:0
12.05.18	Palermo - Cesena	0:0
21.12.17	Cesena - Palermo	1:1
Italian Serie A
08.03.15	Cesena - Palermo	0:0
19.10.14	Palermo - Cesena	2:1
Italian Serie B
15.02.14	Cesena - Palermo	0:0

Upcoming Matches