The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lucchese 22.1%
Draw 29.7%
Cesena 48.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20%
25.8%
54.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.8%
25.6%
54.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cesena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cesena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
18.2%
63.6%
Lucchese - Cesena Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Lucchese will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Cesena will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cesena: 35.2% โ 92%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Chiorra N. (G) 14. Quirini E. 6. Tiritiello A. (C) 23. Benassai F. 97. De Maria V. 27. Gucher R. 8. Tumbarello G. 30. Cangianiello S. 7. Rizzo Pinna A. 45. Yeboah P. 11. Disanto F.
1. Pisseri M. (G) 73. Pieraccini S. 19. Prestia G. (C) 28. Silvestri L. 17. Adamo E. 70. Francesconi M. 5. Varone I. 7. Donnarumma D. 14. Berti T. 10. Kargbo A. 9. Shpendi C.
Substitutes
2. Alagna M. 16. Astrologo A. 12. Berti F. (G) 1. Coletta J. (G) 17. Djibril M. 10. Fedato F. 77. Guadagni G. 38. Leone M. 99. Magnaghi S. 3. Perotta N. 19. Russo F. 21. Sabbione A. 4. Toma R.
42. Campedelli R. 4. Chiarello R. 15. Ciofi A. 13. Coccolo L. 18. Corazza S. 25. David A. 20. De Rose F. 30. Giovannini A. 8. Hraiech S. 33. Klinsmann J. (G) 24. Pierozzi E. 61. Siano A. (G) 98. Tampieri D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Varone I. 🟨,
38', Quirini E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Varone I. ↓, Hraiech S. ↑,
54', Kargbo A. ↓, Corazza S. ↑,
59', Adamo E. ↓, Ciofi A. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Berti T. ⚽,
74', Quirini E. ↓, Astrologo A. ↑,
80', Cangianiello S. ↓, Guadagni G. ↑,
82', Pieraccini S. ↓, Pierozzi E. ↑,
82', Berti T. ↓, Chiarello R. ↑,
83', Tiritiello A. 🟨,
86', Benassai F. 🟨,
88', Sabbione A. ↓, Magnaghi S. ↑,
90+3', Shpendi C. 🟨,
90+4', Guadagni G. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).
Recent matches Lucchese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Cesena is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Cesena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Cesena is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Lucchese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
Watch
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Chiorra N. (G) 
Gucher R. 
Yeboah P. 
Kargbo A. 
Shpendi C. 
Toma R. 
Klinsmann J. (G) 
