Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 26

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Dino Manuzzi (Cesena)


	Cesena		Siena

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.25	6
	1.75	2.95	4.7
	1.77	2.7	4.7
	1.54	3.42	7.06
	1.7	2.9	5.5
	1.69	3.13	5.75	Watch
	1.7	3.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.78)	3.08 ↑ (2.88)	5.53 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cesena
54.2%

Draw
29.4%

Siena
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

31.3%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

30.3%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Siena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siena than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Cesena - Siena Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Siena will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cesena: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cesena won 1.

Cesena in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Siena is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Cesena is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cesena to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cesena won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Cesena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Cesena
Italian Serie C Group B
31.01.23	Recanatese - Cesena	0:3 ✺
28.01.23	Pontedera - Cesena	0:3 ✺
22.01.23	Cesena - Fermana	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Sassari Torres - Cesena	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Cesena - Rimini	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWTWW
- Siena FC
Italian Serie C Group B
31.01.23	Siena - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Siena - Olbia	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	Montevarchi - Siena	1:2 ✺
15.01.23	Siena - Imolese	1:0 ✺
08.01.23	Reggiana - Siena	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
10.10.22	Siena - Cesena	0:0
23.04.22	Siena - Cesena	0:0
19.12.21	Cesena - Siena	1:0
Italian Serie B
15.03.14	Siena - Cesena	1:0
05.10.13	Cesena - Siena	1:1
Italian Serie A
11.03.12	Cesena - Siena	0:2

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