The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Granada 38.7%
Draw 29.6%
Racing Santander 31.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.7%
29.8%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
29.5%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
11.1%
44.4%
Granada - Racing Santander Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Racing will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Granada: 21.4% – 67.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .
DC - Racing (1.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
DNB - Racing (2.14) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Granada (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Granada (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Racing (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Zidane L. (G) 28. Naasei O. 5. Lama M. 24. Williams L. 22. Diallo B. 8. Aleman P. 4. Alcaraz R. 20. Ruiz S. (C) 21. Saenz P. 9. Petit G. 11. Arnaiz J. M.
1. Ezkieta J. (G) 15. Sangalli M. 21. Ramon P. 16. Gonzalez F. 32. Salinas J. 23. Rodriguez D. 19. Puerta G. 11. Martin A. 18. Canales P. 10. Vicente I. (C) 7. Guliashvili G.
Substitutes
13. Astralaga A. (G) 10. Bouldini M. 2. Casadesus P. 17. Diaby B. 40. Diocou B. 23. Gagnidze L. 16. Gonzalez I. 3. Hormigo D. 19. Pascual J. 26. Rodelas S. 7. Sola A. 14. Trigueros M.
8. Aldasoro A. 20. Camara S. 5. Castro J. 13. Eriksson S. (G) 3. Garcia M. 14. Gueye M. 27. Lozano M. 4. Manu 6. Sainz-Maza I.
Coaches
Rojo Martin J.
Lopez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Arnaiz J. M. ⚽,
41', Ramon P. 🟨,
42', Ramon P. ↓, Manu ↑,
45+2', Diallo B. 🟨,
45+3', Ruiz S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rodriguez D. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
46', Petit G. ↓, Pascual J. ↑,
57', Williams L. 🟨,
58', Salinas J. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
58', Guliashvili G. ↓, Lozano M. ↑,
65', Saenz P. ↓, Sola A. ↑,
66', Camara S. 🟨,
70', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
72', Arnaiz J. M. ↓, Rodelas S. ↑,
75', Naasei O. 🟨,
79', Sangalli M. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
79', Puerta G. 🟨,
80', Naasei O. ↓, Casadesus P. ↑,
80', Aleman P. ↓, Gonzalez I. ↑,
84', Rodelas S. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Granada won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Granada: Casadesus P.
(Injury)
There will not play in Racing: Arana J.
(Injury)
Mantilla A.
(Red Card)
Michelin C.
(Inactive)
Sergio M.
(Injury)
Villalibre A.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Granada won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Granada won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Granada CF
8
3
2
3
13:13
0
11
Last Results with these Odds
Racing Santander - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 30.48%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.