Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/32-finals

Date: 5 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube (Ceuta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Mexico	Sky Sport
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	M+ LaLiga TV 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Ceuta		Osasuna

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.1	1.63	Watch
	5.25	4	1.62
	5	3.75	1.63	Watch
	5.25	3.85	1.62
	5.23	3.98	1.61	Watch
	5	3.8	1.57
	4.94	4.15	1.6	Watch
	5	3.75	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.05 ↑ (4.82)	3.92 ↑ (3.9)	1.61 (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
18.5%

Draw
23.8%

Osasuna
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

23.6%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

23.6%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Osasuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	5.9%	76.5%

Ceuta - Osasuna Predictions

Users Predictions: Osasuna will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopez P. (G) 7. Ahmed A. 6. Hernandez C. 25. Cantero Y. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 21. Lopez J. 12. Herranz Corral V. 19. Jamelli 20. Escudero A. 5. Bellotti M. 11. Aquino D.	13. Fernandez A. (G) 2. Vidal N. 4. Garcia U. 5. Herrando J. 23. Bretones A. 8. Ibanez P. 6. Torro L. 16. Gomez M. 15. Pena R. 9. Garcia R. 27. Benito I.
Substitutes
28. Aniekan B. 14. Blesa Alex 2. Delgado F. 18. El Ftouhi S. 15. Guzman J. 3. Lolo Gonzalez 8. Ramos D. 9. Rodri 10. Rodriguez C. 17. Taufek B. M. 13. Vallejo G. (G)	12. Areso J. 11. Barja K. 22. Boyomo F. 17. Budimir A. 24. Catena A. 3. Cruz J. 14. Garcia R. 1. Herrera S. (G) 21. Martinez J. 18. Munoz I. 10. Oroz A.
Coaches
Romero J.	Moreno V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', Romero J. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Redruello Nimo C. ⚽, Jamelli (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
55', Hernandez C. 🟨,
59', Ibanez P. ↓, Oroz A. ↑,
59', Benito I. ↓, Budimir A. ↑,
62', Aquino D. ↓, Rodri ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Jamelli ⚽,
73', Lopez J. ↓, Taufek B. M. ↑,
73', Bellotti M. ↓, El Ftouhi S. ↑,
73', Vidal N. ↓, Areso J. ↑,
73', Pena R. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
74', Escudero A. ↓, Aniekan B. ↑,
80', Gomez M. ↓, Barja K. ↑,
84', Jamelli ↓, Blesa Alex ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Budimir A. ⚽, Garcia R. (A),
87', 2 - 2, Garcia R. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 3, Redruello Nimo C. (Own goal),
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ceuta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Osasuna is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.12.24	Ceuta - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Alcoyano - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Ceuta - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
10.11.24	Mérida AD - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.11.24	Xerez CD - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTLTW
- Osasuna
Spanish LaLiga
02.12.24	Sevilla - Osasuna	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Osasuna - Villarreal	2:2 ✺
09.11.24	Real Madrid - Osasuna	4:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.11.24	Chiclana - Osasuna	0:5 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.11.24	Osasuna - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTLWW

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