Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 15

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube (Ceuta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Ceuta		Villarreal B

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.2	3.7
	1.9	3.1	3.6
	1.98	3.25	3.75
	2.02	3.22	3.85
	1.95	3.22	3.76	Watch
	1.96	3.32	3.69
	1.98	3.25	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.31)	3.22 ↑ (3.09)	3.73 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
46.9%

Draw
28.5%

Villarreal B
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

29.7%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

32.1%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceuta's performance.

Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villarreal B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Ceuta - Villarreal B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vallejo G. (G) 2. Delgado F. 6. Hernandez C. 25. Cantero Y. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 7. Ahmed A. 28. Aniekan B. 5. Bellotti M. 19. Jamelli 20. Escudero A. 11. Aquino D.	1. Alvarez I. (G) 15. Joseda 4. Espigares A. 6. Perez H. 5. Sola A. 29. Diatta A. 11. Requena D. 8. Rodri 7. Moreno V. 14. Etta Eyong 19. Quintero L.
Substitutes
22. Aguero 14. Blesa Alex 18. El Ftouhi S. 15. Guzman J. 12. Herranz Corral V. 3. Lolo Gonzalez 1. Lopez P. (G) 8. Ramos D. 9. Rodri 17. Taufek B. M.	17. Blanco F. 32. Budesca D. 30. Fofana D. 10. Geralnik T. 13. Gomez R. (G) 12. Kone A. 16. Val B. 27. Valou J. 22. Viveros F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Aniekan B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Aniekan B. ↓, Herranz Corral V. ↑,
48', Diatta A. 🟨,
62', 0 - 1, Rodri ⚽,
72', 1 - 1, Aquino D. (Pen),
73', Escudero A. ↓, Taufek B. M. ↑,
73', Delgado F. ↓, Rodri ↑,
80', Quintero L. ↓, Val B. ↑,
80', Diatta A. ↓, Blanco F. ↑,
80', Moreno V. ↓, Geralnik T. ↑,
80', Requena D. ↓, Viveros F. ↑,
80', Ahmed A. ↓, Guzman J. ↑,
83', Cantero Y. 🟨,
90', Joseda 🟨,
90+2', Aquino D. ↓, El Ftouhi S. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Ceuta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villarreal B is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ceuta will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.11.24	Alcoyano - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Ceuta - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
10.11.24	Mérida AD - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.11.24	Xerez CD - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.11.24	Ceuta - Real Murcia	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLTWW
- Villarreal B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.11.24	Villarreal B - Atlético Madrid B	3:2 ✺
17.11.24	Hércules - Villarreal B	0:2 ✺
13.11.24	Alcoyano - Villarreal B	0:2 ✺
10.11.24	Villarreal B - Alcorcón	4:0 ✺
27.10.24	Villarreal B - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWWWL

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