Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 36

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Chacarita Juniors (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Viola F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Chacarita Juniors		Alvarado

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.9	3.3
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.35	3	3.1
	2.42	2.91	3.44
	2.39	2.84	3.4	Watch
	2.25	3	3.2
	2.27	2.97	3.28
	2.35	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.44)	2.94 ↑ (2.9)	3.24 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chacarita Juniors
39.7%

Draw
31.6%

Alvarado
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

32.2%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

31.7%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chacarita Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Chacarita Juniors - Alvarado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arzamendia M. (G) 4. Melendez M. 2. Gonzalez C. 6. Daniele S. 3. Chavez N. 8. Quiroz M. 5. Watson N. 10. Figueroa V. (C) 11. Pombo C. 7. Pisano M. 9. Salinas R.	1. Lungarzo J. (G) 4. Malagueno F. 2. Robledo A. (C) 6. Ortiz N. D. 3. Aleo A. 8. Mansilla M. 5. Leyes N. 10. Jaurena S. 11. Becker D. 7. Miori M. 9. Belinetz O.
Substitutes
13. Acosta 19. Beltramone E. 18. Chocobar V. 20. Cocimano S. 16. Domke 15. Duran D. 14. Fernandez T. 17. Lazarte G. 12. Losas F. (G)	15. Bettini M. 17. Boasso F. 13. Fernandez T. 12. Finochietto L. (G) 16. Lamardo G. 14. Monzon L. 19. Perez M. 20. Sanchez G. 18. Vadala G.
Coaches
Fernandez M.	Gomez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Pisano M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 2 - 0, Salinas R. ⚽,
55', Miori M. ↓, Sanchez G. ↑,
55', Malagueno F. ↓, Lamardo G. ↑,
63', Jaurena S. ↓, Vadala G. ↑,
64', 🟨,
66', Pombo C. 🟨,
68', 2 - 1, Mansilla M. ⚽,
72', Quiroz M. ↓, Duran D. ↑,
75', Pombo C. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
75', Pisano M. ↓, Beltramone E. ↑,
81', Salinas R. ↓, Domke ↑,
81', Figueroa V. ↓, Cocimano S. ↑,
82', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
87', Fernandez T. 🟨,
89', Aleo A. ↓, Boasso F. ↑,
90+4', Cocimano S. 🟥,
90+4', 🟥,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 12).

Recent matches Chacarita is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alvarado is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chacarita could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Chacarita will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Chacarita won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.8:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Chacarita won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chacarita Juniors
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.10.24	Racing de Córdoba - Chacarita Juniors	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Chacarita Juniors - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Tristán Suárez - Chacarita Juniors	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Chacarita Juniors - All Boys	0:1 ✺
07.09.24	Agropecuario Argentino - Chacarita Juniors	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWTLL
- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.10.24	Alvarado - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Alvarado	0:2 ✺
22.09.24	Alvarado - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	San Miguel - Alvarado	2:0 ✺
08.09.24	Alvarado - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.05.24	Alvarado - Chacarita Juniors	2:1
27.03.22	Chacarita Juniors - Alvarado	5:0
02.11.21	Chacarita Juniors - Alvarado	0:2
04.07.21	Alvarado - Chacarita Juniors	2:1

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