Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 15

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Chacarita Juniors (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)


	Chacarita Juniors		Brown de Adrogué

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	5
	1.83	3.2	4.2
	1.85	3.1	4.75
	1.88	3.2	4.91
	1.8	3.1	4.5
	1.86	3.34	4.55
	1.87	3.2	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.82)	3.2 ↓ (3.23)	4.62 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chacarita Juniors
50.5%

Draw
29.2%

Brown de Adrogué
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

28%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

27.1%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chacarita Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Chacarita Juniors - Brown de Adrogué Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Chacarita will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Brown de Adrogué will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chacarita won 2.

Chacarita is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Brown de Adrogué is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chacarita could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chacarita is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Chacarita won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Chacarita won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chacarita Juniors
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.05.23	Quilmes - Chacarita Juniors	1:1 ✺
06.05.23	Chacarita Juniors - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1 ✺
30.04.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Chacarita Juniors	0:0 ✺
22.04.23	Chacarita Juniors - Deportivo Riestra	4:2 ✺
17.04.23	Racing de Córdoba - Chacarita Juniors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWTWT
- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.05.23	Brown de Adrogué - Mitre	0:0 ✺
07.05.23	Chaco For Ever - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
29.04.23	Brown de Adrogué - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0 ✺
23.04.23	Deportivo Maipú - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
15.04.23	Brown de Adrogué - Villa Dálmine	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.07.22	Chacarita Juniors - Brown de Adrogué	2:1
03.12.20	Chacarita Juniors - Brown de Adrogué	0:0
02.11.19	Brown de Adrogué - Chacarita Juniors	0:1
02.03.19	Brown de Adrogué - Chacarita Juniors	3:0
10.05.17	Chacarita Juniors - Brown de Adrogué	1:2
13.10.16	Brown de Adrogué - Chacarita Juniors	1:2
06.02.16	Chacarita Juniors - Brown de Adrogué	2:0

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