Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 15

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Chacarita Juniors (Buenos Aires)


	Chacarita Juniors		Club Almagro

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.3	5.5	Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.75
	1.72	3.1	5.15	Watch
	1.76	3.28	5.55
	1.81	3.01	5.63	Watch
	1.75	3.1	5
	1.7	3.13	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.78)	3.15 ↓ (3.19)	5.26 ↑ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chacarita Juniors
53%

Draw
29.4%

Club Almagro
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

29.2%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

28.5%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chacarita Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Chacarita Juniors - Club Almagro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chacarita will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Almagro will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bologna E. (G) 4. Facello F. 2. Velazquez J. 6. Mottes G. 3. Chaves N. 7. Melendez M. 8. Cuello A. 5. Perez T. 10. Sanabria M. 11. Ramirez S. 9. Barbieri J.	1. Gonzalez E. (G) 4. Asis G. 2. Cortave M. 6. Vitale J. 3. Silcan E. 7. Martinez E. 8. Fernandes J. 5. Marchioni J. 10. Bustamante F. 11. Tolosa N. 9. Belinetz O.
Substitutes
16. Bustos L. 18. Cuevas J. 20. dos Santos T. 19. Jaime M. 13. Leyendeker M. 12. Losas F. (G) 15. Mellado M. 17. Montenegro L. S. 14. Pantaleone N.	14. Busto L. 13. Chamorro S. 15. Flores J. 19. Lopez T. 17. Macies T. 20. Orlando J. 18. Palacio P. 16. Ubeda S. 12. Zozaya J. P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Bustamante F. 🟨,
61', Cuello A. 🟨,
68', 1 - 0, Melendez M. ⚽,
69', Ramirez S. ↓, Montenegro L. S. ↑,
73', Bustamante F. ↓, Orlando J. ↑,
73', Tolosa N. ↓, Lopez T. ↑,
73', Martinez E. ↓, Palacio P. ↑,
76', Fernandes J. ↓, Macies T. ↑,
88', Melendez M. ↓, Bustos L. ↑,
90+1', Sanabria M. ↓, Pantaleone N. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chacarita won 2.

Recent performances by Chacarita have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Almagro has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Chacarita is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Chacarita won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Chacarita won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chacarita Juniors
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.05.26	Patronato Parana - Chacarita Juniors	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Chacarita Juniors - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
04.05.26	Quilmes - Chacarita Juniors	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Chacarita Juniors - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
20.04.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Chacarita Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWTWL
- Club Almagro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.05.26	Club Almagro - San Martín de San Juan	1:2 ✺
11.05.26	Nueva Chicago - Club Almagro	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Club Almagro - Temperley	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Deportivo Maipú - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Club Almagro	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.04.22	Club Almagro - Chacarita Juniors	1:3
11.01.21	Club Almagro - Chacarita Juniors	0:2
16.03.20	Chacarita Juniors - Club Almagro	1:2
21.09.19	Club Almagro - Chacarita Juniors	0:0
27.08.18	Club Almagro - Chacarita Juniors	1:0
02.06.17	Chacarita Juniors - Club Almagro	3:0
07.11.16	Club Almagro - Chacarita Juniors	3:0

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