Match Info

ECUADOR: SERIE B - ROUND 36

Date: 26 October 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	América de Quito		Chacaritas

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.5	6
	1.35	5.09	7.25
	1.33	5.2	7.94
	1.6	3.75	4.6
	1.31	5	7.2
	1.38	4.4	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (2.11)	4.66 ↑ (3.23)	6.6 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América de Quito
66.2%

Draw
19.8%

Chacaritas
14%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.5%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

27.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América de Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América de Quito's performance.

Chacaritas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chacaritas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Quito than the current prediction. (-21.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América de Quito that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chacaritas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

América de Quito - Chacaritas Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. América de Quito will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Chacaritas will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for América de Quito: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches América de Quito won 2.

América de Quito is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Chacaritas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match América de Quito is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's América de Quito to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 13 head-to-head matches América de Quito won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-16.

Including matches at home between the teams América de Quito won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América de Quito
Ecuadorian Serie B
18.10.23	Vargas Torres - América de Quito	0:1 ✺
11.10.23	América de Quito - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
04.10.23	Independiente Juniors - América de Quito	2:2 ✺
27.09.23	Búhos ULVR - América de Quito	1:1 ✺
19.09.23	América de Quito - Manta	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWTTW
- Chacaritas FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
18.10.23	Chacaritas - Independiente Juniors	1:0 ✺
11.10.23	Deportivo Macará - Chacaritas	1:2 ✺
03.10.23	Chacaritas - Búhos ULVR	4:0 ✺
28.09.23	Manta - Chacaritas	1:0 ✺
20.09.23	Chacaritas - Imbabura	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
07.07.23	Chacaritas - América de Quito	1:1
24.06.23	América de Quito - Chacaritas	2:3
03.05.23	Chacaritas - América de Quito	1:2
24.09.22	Chacaritas - América de Quito	0:2
11.08.22	América de Quito - Chacaritas	2:2
06.07.22	Chacaritas - América de Quito	0:1
19.04.22	América de Quito - Chacaritas	1:1

América de Quito - Chacaritas