Match Info

Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 9

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Pelileo (Pelileo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping


	Chacaritas		Vargas Torres

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.2	3.89	1.69
	3.52	3.19	2.10	Watch
	4.32	3.64	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↑ (3.51)	3.57 ↑ (3.14)	1.83 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chacaritas
23.1%

Draw
26%

Vargas Torres
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

29.6%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

29.3%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chacaritas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Vargas Torres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vargas Torres's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vargas Torres than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vargas Torres, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Chacaritas - Vargas Torres Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vargas Torres (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Vargas Torres (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Vargas Torres will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Vargas Torres (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chacaritas won 0.

Chacaritas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Vargas Torres has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vargas Torres may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vargas Torres is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chacaritas won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chacaritas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chacaritas FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
16.10.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Chacaritas	4:0 ✺
12.10.25	Cumbayá - Chacaritas	0:0 ✺
08.10.25	Chacaritas - 22 de Julio	0:1 ✺
25.09.25	Vargas Torres - Chacaritas	0:0 ✺
18.09.25	Chacaritas - Atlético Vinotinto	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LTLTT
- CSD Vargas Torres
Ecuadorian Serie B
15.10.25	Imbabura - Vargas Torres	1:0 ✺
08.10.25	Vargas Torres - Atlético Vinotinto	0:0 ✺
25.09.25	Vargas Torres - Chacaritas	0:0 ✺
17.09.25	Vargas Torres - Imbabura	2:1 ✺
10.09.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Vargas Torres	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
25.09.25	Vargas Torres - Chacaritas	0:0
10.06.25	Chacaritas - Vargas Torres	3:3
03.04.25	Vargas Torres - Chacaritas	0:0
17.10.24	Vargas Torres - Chacaritas	4:2
14.05.24	Chacaritas - Vargas Torres	0:1
20.03.24	Vargas Torres - Chacaritas	1:1
10.09.23	Chacaritas - Vargas Torres	3:1

Chacaritas - Vargas Torres: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide