Match Info

ECUADOR: SERIE B - ROUND 34

Date: 11 October 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato)


	Deportivo Macará		Chacaritas

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.11	3.51	2.9
	2.1	3.1	3.25
	1.98	3.36	3.34	Watch
	2.28	3.4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.39)	3.31 ↓ (4.2)	3.06 ↓ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Macará
43%

Draw
27.3%

Chacaritas
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

21.6%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

20.6%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Macará's form might have worsened.

Chacaritas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chacaritas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+25.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Macará, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chacaritas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	15.4%	15.4%

Deportivo Macará - Chacaritas Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Macará will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Chacaritas will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Macará: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Macará is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Chacaritas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Macará could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Macará won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Macará won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Serie B
05.10.23	Vinotinto - Deportivo Macará	2:1 ✺
27.09.23	Deportivo Macará - 9 de Octubre	2:1 ✺
21.09.23	Vargas Torres - Deportivo Macará	0:2 ✺
12.09.23	Deportivo Macará - Independiente Juniors	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Búhos ULVR - Deportivo Macará	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWTW
- Chacaritas FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
03.10.23	Chacaritas - Búhos ULVR	4:0 ✺
28.09.23	Manta - Chacaritas	1:0 ✺
20.09.23	Chacaritas - Imbabura	1:2 ✺
13.09.23	Vinotinto - Chacaritas	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Chacaritas - Vargas Torres	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
23.08.23	Chacaritas - Deportivo Macará	1:2
02.07.23	Deportivo Macará - Chacaritas	2:1
23.03.23	Chacaritas - Deportivo Macará	0:1

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