The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chambly 33.2%
Draw 30.6%
Niort 36.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.7%
31.9%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.1%
23.7%
21.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chambly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chambly's form might have worsened.
Niort has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Niort's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chambly than the current prediction. (+18.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chambly, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niort than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Niort, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.2%
69.1%
14.7%
Chambly - Niort Predictions
Users Predictions:
68 users predict this event. Chambly will win (votes: 11 - 16.2%). Niort will win (votes: 10 - 14.7%). It will Tie (votes: 47 - 69.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 58.1% – 80.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 10).
Chambly has a chance of relegated (18%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Niort has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Both teams are now playing unstable.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Chambly won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Chambly won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.