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Current Win Probability
Toulouse 70.2%
Draw 19.3%
Niort 10.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.7%
23.1%
13.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.6%
22.4%
12.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toulouse's performance.
Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
82.5%
11.1%
6.3%
Toulouse - Niort Predictions
Users Predictions:
Toulouse will win
(52 of 63 users predict this - 82.54%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.17% โ 91.91%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 10).
Toulouse has the most likely position - 1 (99.37%), has project points - 81, has currently - 73, has not chance of relegated, has a very good chance of promoted (>99%), has a very good chance of win league (>99%).
Niort has the most likely position - 10 (17.4%), has project points - 50, has currently - 45, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of promoted.
This event has quality37, very small importance6, small match rating22. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 0.
Toulouse in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Niort is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Toulouse is the unquestionable favorite.
Our prediction for today's Toulouse to win the game is with odds 1.33.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Toulouse won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.