Match Info

Date: 8 January 2021, Friday


	Pau		Chambly

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.9	2.7	Watch
	2.75	2.8	2.75
	2.7	2.85	2.85	Watch
	2.75	2.8	2.75
	2.88	2.94	2.89
	2.8	2.8	2.88	Watch
	2.86	2.75	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.45)	2.83 ↓ (2.95)	2.83 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pau
33.8%

Draw
33.1%

Chambly
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

31.8%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

22.6%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Chambly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chambly than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chambly could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	62.2%	31.1%

Pau - Chambly Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 3 - 6.7%). Chambly will win (votes: 14 - 31.1%). It will Tie (votes: 28 - 62.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 48% – 76.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Pau has a good chance of relegated (51%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Chambly has a chance of relegated (31%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Pau has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Chambly is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Pau won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Pau won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
05.01.21	Ajaccio - Pau	4:1 ✺
22.12.20	Pau - Toulouse	0:3 ✺
18.12.20	Auxerre - Pau	2:1 ✺
15.12.20	Pau - Sochaux	0:0 ✺
05.12.20	Clermont - Pau	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- FC Chambly
French Ligue 2
05.01.21	Chambly - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
22.12.20	Nancy - Chambly	3:3 ✺
18.12.20	Chambly - Guingamp	3:0 ✺
12.12.20	Amiens - Chambly	1:1 ✺
05.12.20	Chambly - Valenciennes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
11.01.19	Chambly - Pau	1:0
09.10.18	Pau - Chambly	2:0
16.03.18	Pau - Chambly	0:1
13.10.17	Chambly - Pau	3:2
27.04.17	Pau - Chambly	1:1
09.12.16	Chambly - Pau	0:0

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