Match Info

Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 29

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Yatai Training Base Stadium (Changchun)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Changchun Xidu		Guangxi Hengchen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	9.2	4.75	1.27
	10.7	5.09	1.27
	25.00	10.44	1.05	Watch
	9.7	4.8	1.27
	4.5	3.4	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.82 ↑ (4.57)	5.7 ↑ (3.41)	1.32 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changchun Xidu
8.3%

Draw
17.2%

Guangxi Hengchen
74.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

26.6%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

26.3%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Xidu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Changchun Xidu's form might have worsened.

Guangxi Hengchen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangxi Hengchen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Xidu than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Changchun Xidu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (-20.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangxi Hengchen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Changchun Xidu - Guangxi Hengchen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Hu H. (G) 16. Sun Fei 8. Kadir Aysan 19. Lu Hongda 14. Li Zhen 36. Zhao Ran 9. Qin Wanzhun 10. Murat Bebet (C) 24. Wang Junhao 49. Memet Nuryasin 7. Musajan Musajan	45. Dai Jiatong (C) 19. Cen Liyi 4. Fang Zhengyang 27. Zhang Zijian 3. Yuan X. 52. Chen G. 56. Ji X. 16. Ning W. 47. Chen D. 25. Ren K. 58. Huang Y.
Substitutes
60. Alim Enser 13. Cheng Changcheng 4. Erlan Ghulaht 29. He Youzu 22. Huang Wenzhuo 1. Liu Y. (G) 33. Li Xin 45. Nurlan Nurzat 42. Suo Mingwei 12. Wang Y. 20. Xu Zhaoji 47. Yu Yue	11. Fei Ernanduo 23. Guo Z. 42. Ji Tianle 32. Li S. 22. Shen Bokai (G) 8. Wang H. 28. Wang Haozhi 29. Yao Zixuan
Coaches
Li Bin	Liu Junwei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Chen G. ⚽, Ning W. (A),
31', Qin Wanzhun 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', Ji X. ↓, Ji Tianle ↑,
59', Ren K. ↓, Yao Zixuan ↑,
66', Musajan Musajan ↓, He Youzu ↑,
66', Zhao Ran ↓, Li Xin ↑,
81', Qin Wanzhun ↓, Nurlan Nurzat ↑,
81', Ning W. ↓, Wang H. ↑,
82', 0 - 2, Ji Tianle ⚽, Wang H. (A),
90+1', Wang Junhao ↓, Suo Mingwei ↑,
90+1', Sun Fei ↓, Alim Enser ↑,
90+4', 0 - 3, Fei Ernanduo ⚽,

Preview

Guangxi Hengchen is Qualified for Jia League

Changchun Xidu is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Guangxi Hengchen is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Guangxi Hengchen is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Changchun Xidu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changchun Xidu
Chinese Yi League
05.10.25	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Changchun Xidu	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Changchun Xidu - Shenzhen	0:3 ✺
21.09.25	Changchun Xidu - Chengdu Rongcheng B	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Changchun Xidu	4:1 ✺
30.08.25	Changchun Xidu - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTLL
- Guangxi Hengchen
Chinese Yi League
05.10.25	Shandong Taishan B - Guangxi Hengchen	0:0 ✺
26.09.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Nantong Haimen Codion	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Wuxi Wugou - Guangxi Hengchen	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Changchun Xidu	4:1 ✺
30.08.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Shandong Taishan B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
14.09.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Changchun Xidu	4:1

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