Match Info

Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 28

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic		Changchun Xidu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.41	3.85	6.9
	1.42	3.9	7.35
	1.66	3.46	5.29	Watch
	1.41	3.84	7.7
	1.7	3.35	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.71)	3.68 ↑ (3.35)	6.36 ↑ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guizhou Guiyang Athletic
60.5%

Draw
25%

Changchun Xidu
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

27.1%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

26.4%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guizhou Guiyang Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guizhou Guiyang Athletic's performance.

Changchun Xidu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Changchun Xidu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guizhou Guiyang Athletic than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guizhou Guiyang Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Xidu than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Changchun Xidu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Chen J. (G) 8. Sun Enming 35. Lu Wentao 27. Zhang Wentao (C) 3. Wu Junjie 7. Chen Chenzhenyang 60. Wu Zhongcan 22. Kong Yinquan 49. Sun Xinkai 18. Chen Xiangyu 37. Liu Yujie	23. Hu H. (G) 17. Erkin Ababekri 8. Kadir Aysan 14. Li Zhen 30. Ma Bokang 16. Sun Fei 10. Murat Bebet (C) 9. Qin Wanzhun 7. Musajan Musajan 49. Memet Nuryasin 36. Zhao Ran
Substitutes
24. Cai Zhuohao 14. Cheng J. 4. Geng Xianglong 29. Guo Tong (G) 5. Lai Yanglong 19. Liang Huan 47. Murathan Ares 20. Wang H. 32. Wang Xiao 9. Xian-Yang Jiazhu 26. Xie Jinzheng 21. Zhou Z.	60. Alim Enser 4. Erlan Ghulaht 29. He Youzu 22. Huang Wenzhuo 1. Liu Y. (G) 19. Lu Hongda 45. Nurlan Nurzat 42. Suo Mingwei 24. Wang Junhao 46. Wang Shengbo 20. Xu Zhaoji
Coaches
Cespedes O.	Li Bin

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Zhang Wentao 🟨,
26', Li Zhen 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Chen Xiangyu 🟨,
57', Kong Yinquan 🟨,
62', Erkin Ababekri 🟨,
65', Chen Chenzhenyang ↓, Cai Zhuohao ↑,
65', Murat Bebet ↓, Nurlan Nurzat ↑,
67', Kadir Aysan 🟨,
73', Chen Xiangyu ↓, Zhou Z. ↑,
73', Sun Xinkai ↓, Wang Xiao ↑,
78', Zhao Ran ↓, Wang Shengbo ↑,
78', Musajan Musajan ↓, He Youzu ↑,
83', Sun Fei ↓, Lu Hongda ↑,
90', Wang Shengbo 🟨,
90', Liu Yujie ↓, Liang Huan ↑,

Preview

Guizhou Zhucheng has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Changchun Xidu is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Guizhou Zhucheng is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guizhou Zhucheng won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guizhou Guiyang Athletic
Chinese Yi League
29.09.25	Wuxi Wugou - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Nantong Haimen Codion	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Shandong Taishan B - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Changchun Xidu - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Wuxi Wugou	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTWWL
- Changchun Xidu
Chinese Yi League
28.09.25	Changchun Xidu - Shenzhen	0:3 ✺
21.09.25	Changchun Xidu - Chengdu Rongcheng B	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Changchun Xidu	4:1 ✺
30.08.25	Changchun Xidu - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Shenzhen - Changchun Xidu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
30.08.25	Changchun Xidu - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	1:2

Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Changchun Xidu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide