Match Info

League One - Round 15

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday

Location: Development Area Stadium (Changchun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Changchun Yatai		Wuxi Wugou

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.77	3.40	3.80
	1.87	3.40	3.65	Watch
	1.83	3.67	4.24
	2.06	3.38	3.47	Watch
	1.81	3.60	4.05
	1.83	3.55	4.17	Watch
	1.82	3.45	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.81)	3.49 ↑ (3.35)	3.89 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changchun Yatai
49.8%

Draw
26.5%

Wuxi Wugou
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

27.1%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.9%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Wuxi Wugou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuxi Wugou than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Changchun Yatai - Wuxi Wugou Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dong Yifan (G) 20. Fan Houtai 4. Wang Weipu 27. Reiner C. 14. JIng Boxi 3. Du Kaile 29. Tan Long (C) 25. Chen Xuhuang 6. Li Qiang 7. Salazar J. 9. Omoijuanfo O.	13. Zhu Yueqi (C) 27. He Wei 4. Isic T. 5. Lin Jiahao 16. Zhou Pinxi 36. Tang Rui 18. Meng Junjie 6. Tursunjan Ahmat 31. Zhou Yunyi 37. Yi Xianlong 19. Noordanus N.
Substitutes
1. An Zhicheng (G) 21. He Xin 35. Jiang Zilei 5. Ling Chuanbin 39. Liu Ziheng 18. Lu Pin 26. Lu Yiming 17. Muhamet 38. Sun Xipeng 16. Tudi Dilyimit 8. Wu Zhicheng 37. Zhou Dadi	7. Albarracin N. 38. Chen Guokang 21. Gao Jingchun 29. Li Bowen 30. Li Boxi 2. Liu Boyang 39. Liu Pengfei (G) 17. Sun Z. 9. Wang Yifan 25. Wang Zihao 20. Zhang Yonglong
Coaches
Yan Feng	Kim Bong-Gil

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', Du Kaile 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Fan Houtai (Own goal),
32', 0 - 2, Isic T. ⚽, Zhou Yunyi (A),
33', Du Kaile ↓, Zhou Dadi ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Wang Weipu ↓, Jiang Zilei ↑,
53', 0 - 3, Noordanus N. ⚽, Zhou Yunyi (A),
56', 0 - 4, Yi Xianlong ⚽, Tang Rui (A),
62', Li Qiang ↓, Tudi Dilyimit ↑,
77', Tang Rui ↓, Wang Yifan ↑,
77', Meng Junjie ↓, Albarracin N. ↑,
80', Salazar J. ↓, Muhamet ↑,
80', Tan Long ↓, Sun Xipeng ↑,
81', Noordanus N. ↓, Li Boxi ↑,
89', 1 - 4, Chen Xuhuang ⚽, Jiang Zilei (A),
90', Zhou Yunyi ↓, Chen Guokang ↑,
90', Lin Jiahao ↓, Wang Zihao ↑,
90+4', 1 - 5, Yi Xianlong ⚽, Wang Yifan (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 9).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Changchun Yatai might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Wuxi Wugou	25	9	6	10	38:31	7	33
9	Changchun Yatai	25	10	4	11	38:41	-3	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Jia League
05.07.26	Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai	1:3 ✺
27.06.26	Changchun Yatai - Guangxi Hengchen	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Changchun Yatai - Dalian Kun City	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Yanbian Longding - Changchun Yatai	2:2 ✺
24.05.26	Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Juniors	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWTL
- Wuxi Wugou
Chinese Jia League
04.07.26	Shaanxi Union - Wuxi Wugou	2:1 ✺
28.06.26	Dingnan United - Wuxi Wugou	3:3 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
20.06.26	Wuxi Wugou - Qingdao Hainiu	2:3 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
14.06.26	Wuxi Wugou - Meizhou Hakka	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Wuxi Wugou	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLTW

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