Match Info

CHINA: Super League - Round 19

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Wuhua County Olympic Sports Centre (Meizhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports


	Meizhou Hakka		Nantong Zhiyun

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.9	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.75
	2.45	3.2	2.85	Watch
	2.52	3.25	2.98
	2.43	3.17	2.96	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.75
	2.46	3.42	2.87	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.29)	3.21 ↓ (3.31)	2.86 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Meizhou Hakka
38.3%

Draw
29.1%

Nantong Zhiyun
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

28.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

30%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Meizhou Hakka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Nantong Zhiyun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Meizhou Hakka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Meizhou Hakka - Nantong Zhiyun Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Nantong Zhiyun will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Cheng Yuelei (G) 29. Yue Tze-Nam 3. Pan Ximing 11. Morris D. 15. Chen Zhechao 27. Kosovic N. 13. Shi Liang 25. Rodrigo Henrique 8. Conraad T. 7. Ye Chugui 28. John Mary	23. Xue Qinghao (G) 18. Jiang Zilei 15. Liu Wei 20. Anthony I. 34. Luo Xin 16. Puclin D. 25. Cao Kang 30. Rosa F. 38. Lu Yongtao 10. Kallon I. 29. Zheng Haoqian
Substitutes
41. Guo Quanbo (G) 14. Li Ning 38. Li Yongjia 31. Rao Weihui 5. Tian Z. 20. Wang Jia'nan 42. Wei Zhiwei 16. Yang Chaosheng 17. Yang Yihu 12. Yin Congyao 10. Yin Hongbo 36. Zhang Sijie	37. Jia B. 17. Ji Shengpan 24. Liang Shaowen 31. Liao Lei 1. Li Huayang (G) 36. Qiu Zhongyi 13. Song Haoyu 3. Wang Jie 2. Wei Lai 33. Xu Junmin 6. Yang Ming-Yang 26. Ye Daochi
Coaches
Ristic M.	Patricio D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Kallon I. (Pen),
19', Cao Kang 🟨,
25', Luo Xin ↓, Liang Shaowen ↑,
26', 0 - 1, Lu Yongtao ⚽, Jiang Zilei (A),
29', Kallon I. 🟨,
36', Lu Yongtao 🟨,
45+9', Shi Liang 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Jiang Zilei 🟥,
60', 1 - 1, Kosovic N. ⚽, Chen Zhechao (A),
61', Lu Yongtao ↓, Xu Junmin ↑,
61', Zheng Haoqian ↓, Song Haoyu ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Conraad T. ⚽, Rodrigo Henrique (A),
72', Ye Chugui ↓, Yin Hongbo ↑,
79', Rodrigo Henrique 🟨,
81', Chen Zhechao ↓, Rao Weihui ↑,
86', Rao Weihui 🟨,
90+2', John Mary ↓, Yang Yihu ↑,
90+12', Yang Yihu 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 14).

Meizhou Hakka has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Nantong Zhiyun is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Nantong Zhiyun to win the game is with odds 2.78.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Meizhou Hakka won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Meizhou Hakka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Meizhou Hakka
Chinese Super League
07.07.24	Zhejiang Professional - Meizhou Hakka	4:0 ✺
30.06.24	Meizhou Hakka - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:3 ✺
26.06.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Meizhou Hakka	3:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.06.24	Wuxi Wugou - Meizhou Hakka	1:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
18.06.24	Meizhou Hakka - Shanghai Port	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Super League
07.07.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1 ✺
29.06.24	Wuhan Three Towns - Nantong Zhiyun	1:2 ✺
25.06.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Nantong Zhiyun	1:3 ✺
Chinese Super League
14.06.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Shenzhen Peng City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
05.04.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Meizhou Hakka	1:0
29.10.23	Meizhou Hakka - Nantong Zhiyun	0:4
02.07.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Meizhou Hakka	2:2
Chinese Jia League
15.08.21	Nantong Zhiyun - Meizhou Hakka	0:1
27.07.21	Meizhou Hakka - Nantong Zhiyun	2:1

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