The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Meizhou Hakka 16.4%
Draw 22.3%
Nantong Zhiyun 61.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
20.6%
24.2%
55.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.8%
23.3%
57.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Meizhou Hakka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Nantong Zhiyun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nantong Zhiyun's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Meizhou Hakka - Nantong Zhiyun Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Sun Jianxiang (G) 22. Liao J. 29. Sun Xiaobin 5. Pellenard T. 20. Wen Z. 25. Li Jiarun 24. Sakhi H. 6. Wang Haoran 32. Wen Q. 16. Yang Chaosheng (C) 10. Triboulet V.
1. Nie Xuran (G) 21. Lucas Kal 6. Hu Mingfei (C) 4. Luo Xin 36. Dai Yuanji 26. Deng Yubiao 28. An Yifei 27. Wu Xingyu 10. Kalulu A. 14. Gonzalez E. 37. Jia Boyan
Substitutes
31. Feng Gang 13. Lai J. 3. Liang Jiahao 28. Li Weijia 15. Luo H. 45. Su Jiale 30. Wang H. (G) 1. Wang Zehao (G) 17. Yang Yihu 35. Yang Yunbo 27. Zhang Enqi 34. Zhang J.
40. Beshathan Zanhar 23. Dujardin R. 20. Jiang Jiapeng 17. Ling Jie 15. Liu Wei 8. Liu Weicheng 39. Liu Ye 16. Lu Jin (G) 5. Shen Chao 2. Xu Hui 7. Ye Daochi
Coaches
Quim
Kim Dae-Eui
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Hu Mingfei ⚽, Luo Xin (A),
45', Wang Haoran 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Wang Haoran ↓, Luo H. ↑,
58', Wen Q. ↓, Lai J. ↑,
64', Jia Boyan ↓, Ye Daochi ↑,
65', Deng Yubiao ↓, Liu Weicheng ↑,
77', Li Jiarun ↓, Su Jiale ↑,
77', Liao J. ↓, Yang Yihu ↑,
82', An Yifei ↓, Dujardin R. ↑,
82', Dai Yuanji ↓, Liu Ye ↑,
85', Wen Z. ↓, Feng Gang ↑,
88', Kalulu A. 🟨,
90+2', Ye Daochi ↓, Beshathan Zanhar ↑,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 15th in the Relegation - League Two and 2nd in the Promotion - Super League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Meizhou Hakka won 2.
Meizhou Hakka is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Nantong Zhiyun is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Nantong Zhiyun may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The betting markets point to Nantong Zhiyun as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Meizhou Hakka has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:10 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Meizhou Hakka against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:6 goals (averaging 1.3:2 per game).