Match Info

Jia League - Round 8

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Rugao Olympic Sports Center (Rugao)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Nantong Zhiyun		Shenzhen Juniors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.71	3.3	4.2
	1.72	3.5	4.3	Watch
	1.7	3.66	4.87
	1.77	3.56	4.59	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.5
	1.66	3.5	4.77	Watch
	1.72	3.5	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.74)	3.47 ↑ (3.42)	4.5 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantong Zhiyun
53.3%

Draw
26.4%

Shenzhen Juniors
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

26.8%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

28.2%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantong Zhiyun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Shenzhen Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Nantong Zhiyun - Shenzhen Juniors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Li Guanxi (G) 2. Xu Hui 5. Ma Sheng 15. Liu Wei 33. Li Haoran 26. Palocevic A. 25. Cao Kang 37. Jia Boyan 23. Jiang Kaihua 7. Ye Daochi 11. Chen Binbin	23. Cheng Yuelei (G) 18. Shi Yucheng 25. Gao J. 14. Huang Jiajun 7. Han Guanghui 29. Lin Zefeng 5. Marcic M. 45. Huang K. 9. Nzuzi Mata K. 10. Xie Baoxian 38. Nouble J.
Substitutes
8. Halimurat Kamiran 6. Hu Mingfei 10. Ivanovic I. 21. Jiang Jiapeng 18. Jiang Zilei 13. Liao Lei 14. Liu Weicheng 39. Liu Ye 16. Lu Jin (G) 19. Nan Xiaoheng 9. Ukachukwu P. 22. Wang Jinshuai (G)	15. Chen Weiqi 31. Chen Zirong (G) 4. Gao K. 6. Liang Rifu 11. Lu J. 26. Mai Sijing 1. Wang Shihan (G) 35. Zeng Y. 27. Zhao S. 32. Zhu G. 39. Zu Pengchao
Coaches
Shinoda Y.	Zhang Jun

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', Jia Boyan 🟨,
33', Xie Baoxian 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Jia Boyan ⚽, Cao Kang (A),
40', 2 - 0, Ye Daochi ⚽, Palocevic A. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Jiang Kaihua ↓, Jiang Jiapeng ↑,
55', 3 - 0, Palocevic A. ⚽,
57', Lin Zefeng ↓, Chen Weiqi ↑,
57', Han Guanghui ↓, Gao K. ↑,
64', Ye Daochi ↓, Ivanovic I. ↑,
69', Xu Hui ↓, Jiang Zilei ↑,
74', Marcic M. ↓, Zhu G. ↑,
74', Huang K. ↓, Liang Rifu ↑,
79', 4 - 0, Ivanovic I. ⚽,
80', Shi Yucheng ↓, Mai Sijing ↑,
81', Jia Boyan ↓, Liu Weicheng ↑,
90+2', 5 - 0, Chen Binbin ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 7).

Recent form of Nantong Zhiyun has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shenzhen Juniors's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Nantong Zhiyun is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Jia League
03.05.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Nantong Zhiyun	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Dalian Kun City - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1 ✺
22.04.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Chongqing Tongliang Long	2:4 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.04.25	Wuxi Wugou - Nantong Zhiyun	2:0 ✺
Chinese Jia League
13.04.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Foshan Nanshi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLLW
- Shenzhen Juniors FC
Chinese Jia League
03.05.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Nanjing City	4:3 ✺
26.04.25	Yanbian Longding - Shenzhen Juniors	1:0 ✺
22.04.25	Liaoning Tieren - Shenzhen Juniors	7:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
18.04.25	Guangdong Mingtu - Shenzhen Juniors	2:3 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
13.04.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLWW

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